Trump 272
Clinton 266
I see Trump attractive in CO and NV. NV is a place where Trump wannabes go all the time, and CO is, I believe, on a bit of a rightward swing. I also see OH and NH going for Trump.
In truth, I think that the map can be expanded widely either way. Trump may be a huge bust and put off folks in MO, NC, and even GA, AR, and AZ. On the other hand, I can see Trump carrying NJ, CT, and PA under certain circumstances, and even IL. These states are desperate for economic turnaround, and Trump, IMO, has credibility here in ways that other Republicans never have had. Picking OH for Trump is a bit risky, but they're turning toward the GOP and Trump's a bit of a protectionist.
Trump's a wild card; his nomination would do the most to jar the electoral map. Which way he'd jar it is not clear. But he would stand out in ways that no other candidate would. I think folks here are underrating Trump's upside.
You can't be serious. I'm sure Trump would lose both CO and NV. If Trump was nominated he would be destroyed in the general. This would be similar to the states Trump could expect to win.
https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/national.php?year=1964&off=0&f=1