Here are my preliminary ratings:
Safe DHawaii
Maryland
New York
VermontStrong DOregon
WashingtonLean DCalifornia
ConnecticutToss-UpArizonaColoradoFlorida
Illinois
MissouriNevadaNew Hampshire
Ohio
Pennsylvania
WisconsinLean RIndiana
Kentucky
Louisiana
North CarolinaStrong RAlaska
Arkansas
Georgia
North Dakota
South Carolina
UtahSafe RAlabama
Idaho
Iowa
Kansas
Oklahoma
South DakotaI think Ayotte will win, even if Hassan runs for senate.
Not sure. It will be very close. Ayotte moderated substantially since her 2010 cmpaign, but still - not sure.
Agreed. NH is still a very difficult state for Republicans to win.
Since when? Bush carried it in 2000 and lost it by the barest of margins in 2004.