The UK General Election Prediction Thread

[Diouf]

Vote Shares (GB only)

Conservatives - 34.8%
Labour - 32.1%
Liberal Democrats - 9.1%
UKIP - 11.8%
Greens - 4.1%
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist - 5.0%

Seats

Conservatives - 282
Labour - 264
Liberal Democrats - 27
UKIP - 2
Greens - 1
SNP- 50
Plaid- 4
Galloway- 1
Other- 19 (NI + Speaker)

Likely Government -
Labour minority government

Scotland - Vote share and seats

Labour 25.0% - 6 seats
SNP - 48.2% - 50
Liberal Democrats 5.1 % - 1
Conservative - 17.6% - 2
Greens - 1.5% - 0
UKIP - 1.8% - 0
Others 0.8% - 0

Constituency winner (3 interesting seats per region and Nick Clegg's seat)

Gordon- SNP
Glasgow North- SNP
Stirling- SNP

Berwick Upon Tweed- Con
Stockton South - Lab
Redcar- Lab

Bury North- Lab
Southport- Lib Dem
Heywood and Middleton- Lab

Rotherham- Lab
Colne Valley- Con
Bradford West- Respect
Sheffield Hallam- Lib Dem

Boston and Skegness- Con
Broxtowe- Lab
Loughborough- Con

Worcester- Con
Dudley South - Con
Warwickshire North- Lab

Ynys Mon- Plaid
Ceredigion- Lib Dem
Vale of Glamorgan- Con

Camborne and Redruth- Con
Bristol West- Lab
Wells- Con

Brighton Pavillion- Green
Thanet South- Con
Rochester and Strood- Con

Kingston and Surbiton - Lib
Battersea- Con
Enfield North- Lab

Norwich South- Lab
Clacton- UKIP
Thurrock- UKIP