Ontario 2014 (June 12th)

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The PC candidate in Timmins-James Bay doesn't even speak French...

Oy vey.

If he wants to win, he needs to not only carry Timmins, but by a large margin. Everything outside of the city is francophone and native.

That said, people are tired of Gilles. I don't blame them. He's a good MP, but it's been 24 years. He'll get just under 50%.

Charlie Angus doesn't speak French though.

Federally, Kapuskasing, Hearst and the surrounding Francophone communities are not part of Timmins-James Bay.  Provincially, they are. 

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Nominations are closed; Tories and Liberals are running a full slate. NDP doesn't have a candidate in Durham (a riding they won in 1990!) I suppose Larry O'Connor wasn't available?

Greens have missed quite a few as well, they're only running 85. And the Libertarians who said they were going to run a full slate may be running only around half.

Good news for Granville Anderson and the Liberals in Durham.  It will be interesting to see if they can pull out a win here without an NDP candidate. 

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Abacus LV: OLP 36, PC 33, NDP 24. Looks like my pessimism was justified.

I assume Hudak is gone if he doesn't make a decent gain. Any contenders for a new leader in 2015-2016?

I think Christine Elliott is the best choice for them.