Higher turnout than 2008?

[後援会]

Quite likely higher as an absolute number of voters.  In terms of percentages, I expect it to be somewhere between 2004 and 2008 (which would still put it at a higher level than most elections in the past half century).

Probably. I suspect there will be more difference within individual groups. Turnout among hispanic and young voters (especially the latter), should drop. I don't see turnout among blacks dropping.