EP elections 2014

[DC Al Fine]

It seems there was another Survation poll this month too, to add them in:

ComRes
Jan:
LAB 35% (+19), UKIP 23% (+6), CON 22% (-6), LDEM 8% (-6), GRN 5% (-3), Others 8% (-9)
May:
UKIP 27% (+11), LAB 23% (+7), CON 21% (-7), LDEM 18% (+4), GRN 5% (-3), Others 6% (-11)

Survation:
Jan:
LAB 31% (+15), CON 24% (-4), UKIP 22% (+5), LDEM 11% (-3), GRN 6% (-2), Others 6% (-11)
May:
LAB 31% (+15), UKIP 30% (+13), CON 20% (-8), LDEM 8% (-6), GRN 6% (-2), Others 5% (-12)

YouGov:
LAB 36% (+20), CON 24% (-4), UKIP 19% (+2), LDEM 12% (-2), GRN 6% (-2), Others 3% (-14)

lol

Averaging them you get: Con 22%, Lab 30%, Lib Dem 13%, UKIP 25%, Greens 6%, Others 4%

which would give you: Lab 25, UKIP 18, Con 16, Lib Dem 7, SNP 2, Green 2

I take it Nick Griffin won't retain his seat?

[DC Al Fine]

Pinch of salt required, probably, but a rather out of date (the fieldwork was done in November) Survation poll for the EU election in the UK has just been published, and the headline figures are Lab 32, UKIP 25, Con 24, LD 8, Greens 6, Others 6.

Also take this with a pinch of salt, but the Libs should surely be worried about the Greens finishing ahead of them in May, surely...

I take it UKIP tends to underperform their polls?