The absentee/early vote thread

[dspNY]

Computer models say Clinton is 90K ahead of Trump in FL, but there is a chance for Trump to make up the lost ground and win

http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/computer-model-hillary-clinton-leads-donald-trump-by-nearly-90000-votes/2300967

[dspNY]

Advantage Trump - NC, OH, IA, FL, AZ*
Advantage Clinton - CO, NV

* Clinton does better than Obama in AZ but not good enough to flip the state.

After looking at the demographic breakdown of the Florida early vote and that computer model, Florida is no better than a tossup for Trump

[dspNY]

Ralston:

Dems led by 300 votes in Washoe at this time in 2012
Dems lead by 1900 votes in Washoe now

[dspNY]

daniel a. smith ‏@electionsmith
Turnout in Florida across all race/ethnicity is up relative to 2012, 8 days out:
Black up 49%
Hispanic up 152%
White up 72%

@paulythegun

please no more florida in the bag for trump with this huge surfe in latino turnout

If African-American turnout increases come close to white turnout increases then Florida is in the bag for Hillary