LA-PPP: Swing state

[Fuzzy Bear Loves Christian Missionaries]

Bill Clinton didn't just win in Louisiana in 1996; he won 52%-40%.

Louisiana is different from the rest of the Deep South, especially in demographics.  The Cajun Catholics have always been more Democratic than the Baptist whites in North Louisiana, and they have been swing voters in the past.  The problem with Louisiana today for the Democrats is that the political establishment, from top to bottom is Republican, and while Jindal is presently unpopular, there doesn't really seem to be a pathway back for the Democrats.

[Fuzzy Bear Loves Christian Missionaries]

Louisiana is a state that, IMO, is more elastic than MS or AL.  There is a Cajun white vote that is willing to vote Democratic, even as the Northern LA white Protestant vote is pretty inelastic, but voting for a black candidate was too much out of the question for President.  The problem is that over the years, the Democratic bench has been decimated in LA, but there is a road back for the Democrats in LA that isn't there in many Southern states without substantial demographic change.