I'd estimate this goes to the House:
AU: 238
DA: 196
Nader: 98
Not to contradict MormDem or to dismiss you, but this was what I had in mind (ignore the colors and shades, I did this in a rush):
Lugar - 271
Bradley - 207
Nader - 60
This was a tough decision for me. I basically flipped a coin to settle on what to do for this election. I feel like it's the best thing to do for two reasons: The first is that the left will likely win most if not all of the remaining elections since that always happens, and a Lugar victory would also fit better for the path I want to take the timeline. Keep in mind many, many of these states are decided in nailbiters.