Republicans New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)

[Seriously?]

Well, I cant imagine him losing any so what Trump 88-95 range?

60% is probably the tipping point for a sweep, which would be impressive.

[Seriously?]

Ok Trump wins NY, but how big will the win be and how hard will Cruz fall?

Fox projects Cruz to finish last in NY.

[Seriously?]

Kasich up in Manhattan.

Won't last.

[Seriously?]

Kasich is on track to win Manhattan, and with that the possibilities of winning NY-10 and NY-12

It doesn't look like Kasich has a chance to get more than 1 delegate in 10.
(Trump up by 700 votes 12% with little more than 1/2 in)

12 is a possibility.
But Trump up by 150 votes or so with 1/2 the vote in.

CD 21, 13, 7, Trump is slightly above 50 at this point

http://nyenr.elections.state.ny.us/home.aspx

[Seriously?]

10th and 12th looking the most promising for Kasich getting a delegate.

Some of those upstate districts will be marginal for 50%+1.

[Seriously?]

I don't understand all this Atlas enthusiasm/excitement for one or two specific districts that trump may lose.
People .... trump has a massive win here. 1, 2 or 3 districts is peanuts.

Inside baseball dork math stuff.

With that said CD 10, 12 looking good for a Kasich delegate. CD 13 marginal (Trump went <50%, then back over it), CD 24 (Syracuse) marginal (<50% Trump ATM).

[Seriously?]

Does somebody know why Nassau county is completely missing?

It's just starting to trickle in, but usually Nassau and Westchester straggle in late for whatever reason.

[Seriously?]

How can the Manhattan congressional districts be so screwy that Kasich isnt winning them? Ugh.

Democratic gerrymandering magic!

A court actually drew the NY maps.

[Seriously?]

Trump is looking at the possibility of losing a delegate in 10,12,13,20,24. Maybe 2 in 12.
So looks like a minimum of 89 delegates and probably a couple more than that. 91 or 92 most likely.

Manafort said over 90 with the possibility of a few more. The way it's looking, 10 and 12 are Kasich delegates, a handful could go either way. 90+ sounds about right.

[Seriously?]

The Westchester portion of CD-16. Where Cruz lost to Carson. (The Carson votes are null and void).

http://i.imgur.com/OJDqcly.png?1

Office       PRESIDENT-16TH CNG DIST       
PARTY   439 Districts out of   527 Reporting (83)%   Votes   Percent
REP   DONALD J TRUMP   8,419   50%
REP   JOHN R KASICH           4,674   28%
REP   BEN CARSON           2,058   12%
REP   TED CRUZ                   1,762   10%
    Office Totals          16,913   100%

[Seriously?]

Looks like CD-13 is in the Trump camp at this point.

With all but 1 precinct reporting...

Donald J. Trump   REP   .   50.49 %   1,285
John R. Kasich   REP   .   28.17 %   717
Ben Carson   REP      0.00 %   0
Ted Cruz           REP   .   21.34 %   543
Total Votes   2,545

[Seriously?]

Kasich's support in rich districts of NYC is a decent sign he can maybe keep trump under 50 in CT.

Fortunately for Trump, the state constitutes more than just Greenwich.

Greenwich/Fairfield Co. is going to be similar to Westchester, where Trump got about 55% of the vote. It's roughly the same wealth profile with similar working class towns within the county.

Cruz's "New York Values" comment will hurt him there as well as Fairfield is in the NYC metro and folks consider themselves New Yorkers in the greater sense of the word.

[Seriously?]

Looks like CD-13 is in the Trump camp at this point.

With all but 1 precinct reporting...

Donald J. Trump   REP   .   50.49 %   1,285
John R. Kasich   REP   .   28.17 %   717
Ben Carson   REP      0.00 %   0
Ted Cruz           REP   .   21.34 %   543
Total Votes   2,545

How many Carson ballots were dumped in the Hudson River?

They weren't. They were invalid under New York law. Some of the county board of elections kept track of the numbers. Kasich lost a delegate in CD-13 because of the quirk in NY law.