Siena/Newsday/News 12 Long Island, NY Poll - Trump +4 (4-way)/Even (2-way) (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 10, 2024, 05:44:02 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Siena/Newsday/News 12 Long Island, NY Poll - Trump +4 (4-way)/Even (2-way) (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Siena/Newsday/News 12 Long Island, NY Poll - Trump +4 (4-way)/Even (2-way)  (Read 2620 times)
Seriously?
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,029
United States


« on: September 23, 2016, 02:42:28 AM »
« edited: September 23, 2016, 02:45:26 AM by Seriously? »

Actually, these are bad numbers for Trump.
If it stays like this, he isn't going to win the election.

He needs to improve with this demographic.

How do you figure? Assuming a nation-wide swing, Trump has this election won with the Nassau/Suffolk Co. swing. He'd need to gain 5 points on Obama's numbers to make it even. I think he nets 9 in Nassau and 11 in Suffolk here.
Logged
Seriously?
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,029
United States


« Reply #1 on: September 23, 2016, 11:39:50 AM »

Nassau + Suffolk together are around 77% White but higher educated on average.  Given that this poll has it Trump +4 in a 4 way races seems to be relatively good news for given that he is holding his own among educated Whites.  This sort of result implies somewhat of a tie nationally. 

It implies it, but the southern college educated whites and to a lesser extent Midwestern ones aren't giving it to him.
Eh, the one county he lost in NY was New York County (Manhattan), which is the epitome of highly-educated whites on the Republican side of things. (To the extent they exist.)
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.028 seconds with 13 queries.