I imagine that the upland south is less stable for trump than some might think. Really, Idaho and Wyoming are the only states that I could firmly say will never leave the Trump column.
West Virginia too maybe?
Maybe Oklahoma.
Let's not get ahead of ourselves. Wait 'till we see some new polls. The consequences of the 'pardon-myself' talk has yet to sink in. Arkansas was not my first choice of polls to see.
But it might soon be time to start "Trump approval ratings thread" 1.2 shortly. In fact I think that I might start it pre-emptively. I got caught with such a change and had to input a bunch of data again. This is as good as any break; the Arkansas poll comes from before the disclosure.
Yeah, can we hold off on the circle-jerking that he's underwater in 40+ states just yet? This is just one poll from a historically bad pollster. They were way too bullish on Pryor in 2014
Almost every pollster in the country was bad in 2014. That isn't the best test of how sh**t one is.