DEMOCRATS ONLY: which state do you think is safer in D column going forward (user search)
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  DEMOCRATS ONLY: which state do you think is safer in D column going forward (search mode)
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Author Topic: DEMOCRATS ONLY: which state do you think is safer in D column going forward  (Read 607 times)
Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169
« on: June 13, 2014, 07:15:15 PM »
Virginia or Colorado?

Virginia - 20% black, stable voting patterns.  NOVA is increasing as a percentage of the population.  Rural areas are decreasing in population.  Fairfax is getting more urban and voting more like DC.

Colorado - Denver and Boulder offer huge vote margins.  Hispanic vote share is increasing.  Lots of liberal whites from the west coast.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169
« Reply #1 on: June 16, 2014, 03:02:23 PM »
I tend to agree with the responses here.

Virginia seems like a stable bet because it's inelastic but slightly favors Democrats.

I could see the GOP winning Colorado every now and then, but I could also see Democrats winning Colorado by double digits.  I don't think we can win Virginia by double digits anytime soon though.
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