AR Congressional Races 2014

[windjammer]

Why is it that moderate heroes always oppose things that are supported by a vast majority of the public? Public option, minimum wage increase, etc.

He supports minimum wage increase (see Arkansas ballot)

[windjammer]

So Mr. Nice Guy's an asshole.

What's funny is that Pryor is sitting in his daddy's Senate seat.

Yep. Consider this my official endorsement of Cotton. At least he respects our servicemen.

If you vote for Cotton Sawx, you're an awful moron democratic traitor.

[windjammer]

Cotton got married yesterday. Pryor already congratulated him. US Senate seat ain't a bad wedding gift.

His wife is pretty!

[windjammer]

Woot, Talk Business will have a Senate poll out next week.

Relevant poll?

[windjammer]

46-43 Pryor. Too bad PPP won't look here... undecided should be breaking Republican, similar to MO 2012.

Yes, Pryor is definitely the 2014 Mccaskill!
Tight election, maybe a slight underdog, but not definitely doomed like some people think.

[windjammer]

Pryor says he'd vote for Obamacare again.

He is going to get Blanched now.  No, he will probably do even worse than her.

lol

I will still stand by my statment.

JerryArkansas, I'm curious. Why do you support Tom Cotton but not Asa Hutchinson? You know Cotton is much more to the right than Hutchinson!

[windjammer]

Pryor says he'd vote for Obamacare again.

He is going to get Blanched now.  No, he will probably do even worse than her.

lol

I will still stand by my statement.

JerryArkansas, I'm curious. Why do you support Tom Cotton but not Asa Hutchinson? You know Cotton is much more to the right than Hutchinson!

 
It is just one of those strange things that happens with me as a person.  I like Mike Ross a lot, and Pryor and go and die in a hole.

Why do you hate Pryor at this point?

[windjammer]

This race is interesting!

[windjammer]

Crazy Cotton, you will lose votes because of your hard stance, Arkansas isn't a fiscal conservative state (see polls about minimum wage, farm bill's popularity). You're definitely a bad candidate for the GOP, someone like Griffin would have been much better. If you win, you can thank Obama, not your political skills.

[windjammer]

Crazy Cotton, you will lose votes because of your hard stance, Arkansas isn't a fiscal conservative state (see polls about minimum wage, farm bill's popularity). You're definitely a bad candidate for the GOP, someone like Griffin would have been much better. If you win, you can thank Obama, not your political skills.

Ok.

Is it so difficult to elaborate a longer answer?

[windjammer]

Crazy Cotton, you will lose votes because of your hard stance, Arkansas isn't a fiscal conservative state (see polls about minimum wage, farm bill's popularity). You're definitely a bad candidate for the GOP, someone like Griffin would have been much better. If you win, you can thank Obama, not your political skills.

Ok.

Is it so difficult to elaborate a longer answer?

No. It just wasn't necessary for one.

Fine, I'm glad to see you have nothing to say to contradict me.

[windjammer]

Crazy Cotton, you will lose votes because of your hard stance, Arkansas isn't a fiscal conservative state (see polls about minimum wage, farm bill's popularity). You're definitely a bad candidate for the GOP, someone like Griffin would have been much better. If you win, you can thank Obama, not your political skills.

Ok.

Is it so difficult to elaborate a longer answer?

No. It just wasn't necessary for one.

Fine, I'm glad to see you have nothing to say to contradict me.

November 4th will take care of that.

I have not said Pryor will win. I have said this race will stay competitive because of Cotton's hard stances on farm bill, medicare,... and that someone like Griffin would have been much better.

But yes, you're right, November 4th will definitely say if Pryor is going Blanche or not.

[windjammer]

Well, if Cotton loses (that's a possibility), he could probably primary Boozman in 2016, couldn't he?

[windjammer]

BIO honors Senator Pryor as a Legislator of the Year.

[windjammer]

PPP will probably poll Arkansas next week end

[windjammer]

Interesting.

[windjammer]

To Sabato's credit, when they say "lean Rep", it means that one of two parties has a slight advantage, but it's still extremely competitive.
They take risks (no toss up for instance for the 2012 senate ratings). So the "lean Rep" was normal. Now, they just correct their analysis with the last polls.

[windjammer]

Cotton removes posts on votes against Sandy aid from website

[windjammer]

OK, this is funny. Spat between Cotton and Warren... his former bankruptcy law professor. He's talked about this before.

An another reason why Warren is awesome

[windjammer]

The simplest poll explanation I've heard (from an AR Pub on Twitter) is simply Dem air dominance. But seems like the air wars will intensify this summer, using Pryor's own words.

The Koch Brothers are persuaded that they can buy elections, they risk to be as desillusioned as the awesome Karl Rove during the 2012 presidential results .

Their Obamacare strategy doesn't work at all. Pryor is clearly in a better shape than 3 month ago, whereas the Koch Brothers have been a lot of money in order to defeat him.

[windjammer]

http://www.ontopmag.com/article.aspx?id=18571&MediaType=1&Category=26
Good strategy in Arkansas about gay rights for Pryor, he's trying to have both the anti SSM and the pro SSM supporters.

[windjammer]

Only $150k???

[windjammer]

Crossroads has a 1-week, $440k buy attacking Pryor. Their internal has Cotton up 46/41. Last time they polled was before Cotton formally declared, 10 months ago. 44/42 Cotton.

Internal, obviously flawed.

[windjammer]

This is a bit off topic, but I'm sure somebody who knows Arkansas can answer this:

In 2008, Pryor ran unopposed. His only opponent was a Green Party candidate who was to the left of him, and they got about 20% of the vote. Did most of their vote come from liberals who were frustrated with Pryor, or from staunch right-wingers who would refuse to vote for any Democrat under any circumstances? I know it was likely a combination of both, but which was more prevalent?

Probably from liberals. Pryor was seen as pro life, etc. I don't see a single Republican voter voting for a Green. He would probably have not voted.


-------------
http://blogs.rollcall.com/hawkings/obama-arkansas-tornado-visit-mark-pryor-political-boost/

Interesting, but not sure that's a good idea.

[windjammer]

Boozman is definitely running for reelection.

The Bouteflika from Arkansas?