Who will control the NJ and VA legislatures at the end of the night?

[windjammer]

New Jersey state senate. Based on the 2012 presidential results

Sen district   PVI   INC
29   36   D
28   31   D
31   30   D
34   30   D
35   30   D
20   28   D
33   25   D
32   22   D
15   21   D
17   21   D
5   18   D
37   17   D
22   16   D
19   15   D
6   13   D
7   12   R
36   12   D
4   10   D
18   9   D
2   8   D
14   6   D
27   5   D
3   4   D
11   4   R
38   3   D
1   2   D
8   2   R
16   2   R
12   -5   R
21   -5   R
25   -6   R
13   -7   R
26   -7   R
39   -7   R
9   -8   R
23   -8   R
40   -8   R
10   -9   R
24   -12   R
30   -15   R

[windjammer]

State house virginia: based only pn 2012 results
District   INC   pvi (seulement 2012)
71   DEM   34
69   DEM   33
89   DEM   29
92   DEM   29
70   DEM   28
90   DEM   27
77   DEM   26
95   DEM   26
49   DEM   24
80   DEM   24
74   DEM   23
46   DEM   22
63   DEM   21
57   DEM   19
45   DEM   17
47   DEM   17
38   DEM   15
53   DEM   15
43   DEM   14
11   DEM   13
44   DEM   13
36   DEM   12
48   DEM   12
52   DEM   11
79   DEM   11
39   DEM   10
75   DEM   10
37   DEM   9
86   REP   9
2   REP   8
35   DEM   8
41   DEM   7
81   REP   6
87   REP   5
93   REP   5
13   REP   4
29   REP   3
50   REP   3
100   DEM   3
31   REP   2
8   REP   1
32   REP   1
42   REP   1
94   REP   1
12   REP   0
51   REP   0
14   REP   -2
27   REP   -2
28   REP   -2
34   REP   -2
84   VAC   -2
85   REP   -2
10   REP   -4
40   REP   -4
60   REP   -4
21   REP   -5
54   REP   -5
62   REP   -5
73   REP   -5
83   REP   -5
67   REP   -6
72   REP   -6
61   REP   -7
76   REP   -7
99   REP   -7
16   REP   -8
26   REP   -8
88   REP   -8
91   REP   -8
30   REP   -9
33   REP   -9
68   REP   -9
20   REP   -10
58   REP   -10
64   REP   -10
96   REP   -10
18   REP   -11
55   REP   -11
59   REP   -11
82   REP   -11
7   REP   -12
17   REP   -12
78   VAC   -12
98   REP   -12
22   REP   -14
24   REP   -14
56   REP   -14
66   REP   -15
4   DEM   -16
9   REP   -16
19   IND   -16
15   REP   -17
65   REP   -17
23   REP   -18
6   REP   -19
25   REP   -19
5   REP   -22
97   REP   -22
1   REP   -25
3   REP   -27

[windjammer]

And Northam,Herring,Obenshain's districts are safe.

[windjammer]

The GOP will have a one to two seat advantage in the VA Senate after the election.

I'm sorry Hifly but even if the Pubs could have competitive candidates, it's D+6 Herring and Northam's district!

[windjammer]

And New Jersey house districts based only on the 2012 results:
House district   PVI   INC
29   36   2D
28   31   2D
31   30   2D
34   30   2D
35   30   2D
20   28   2D
33   25   2D
32   22   2D
15   21   2D
17   21   2D
5   18   2D
37   17   2D
22   16   2D
19   15   2D
6   13   2D
7   12   2D
36   12   2D
4   10   2D
18   9   2D
2   8   2R
14   6   2D
27   5   2D
3   4   2D
11   4   2R
38   3   2D
1   2   2D
8   2   2R
16   2   2R
12   -5   2R
21   -5   2R
25   -6   2R
13   -7   2R
26   -7   2R
39   -7   2R
9   -8   2R
23   -8   2R
40   -8   2R
10   -9   2R
24   -12   2R
30   -15   2R

[windjammer]

I meant that immediately after the election the Pubs will control the Senate- the special elections for Herring's and Northam's districts won't be for months!

Obenshain + Northam winning = tie and D control through Northam from day 1, though.  There has been a lot of talk about Republican chances in Northam's and Herring's districts in a special.  Could Democrats make a play for the Obenshain district in a special if he wins?

No way, his district is R+11.

[windjammer]

I meant that immediately after the election the Pubs will control the Senate- the special elections for Herring's and Northam's districts won't be for months!

Obenshain + Northam winning = tie and D control through Northam from day 1, though.  There has been a lot of talk about Republican chances in Northam's and Herring's districts in a special.  Could Democrats make a play for the Obenshain district in a special if he wins?

No way, his district is R+11.

But he is from the mountains.  Is it a Blue Doggish R+11?  Democrats still have a 60% Romney state senate seat in coal country.

Obenshain was first elected in 2004, so...