Well, I will defend Phil (although Badger's posts are really great).
Firstly, the "SANTORUM WILL WIN BLABLA",
Phil said that exactly:
He clearly said that Casey could beat him, but Phil didn't believe Casey was going to run.
Phil wasn't really wrong on santorum's chances, he was wrong on the fact that Casey wasn't going to run. That's not a critical mistake. He doesn't deserve to be mocked by that 10 years after this event.
So seriously, dismissing Phil's opinion because of "Santorum will win" is really weird.
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Then, Phil has indeed a rep bia, because he's a republican. That's totally normal. I have a dem bia, most of the democrats have a bia,...
But his opinion is articulate. So please, respect at least what he says, and if you disagree with him, take time to answer to him respectfully and not saying "Santorum will win", Badger did that well flr instance, his answer was articulate.
This situation just shows how dem biased is this forum.
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Now I will give my opinion of that.
I wouldn't be so confident than Phil, but he's indeed right. The republicans are going to win here, Davis' lead has been reduced extremely quickly, and Kansas is one of the reddest state in the country historically speaking.
The KS swing voter is probably tmthforu, and he will probably vote for the reps, like Bacon King's family is a good indication for Georgia, tmthforu represents well the swing voters of his state
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