Democratic MI/MS election results thread (first results @8pm ET)

[The Free North]

MI has about the same AA share of dem voters as the national average so its a good test to see where the candidates are overall.

[The Free North]

Ryan Struyk ‏@ryanstruyk  2m2 minutes ago
Six in 10 Mississippi Democratic primary voters are black per preliminary exit poll results, which would be a record if it holds. #MSprimary

6 in 10 would be a record?  That's actually surprising.

Blacks were a majority in MS (and SC) in the early days of the Republic....but they obviously could not vote then so it didnt matter.

[The Free North]

Top line exits look good for Sanders in MI

[The Free North]

CNN exits have Sanders with 52% http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/polls/mi/Dem

[The Free North]

Sanders is running very strong in the Western portion of the state, if he can win Grand Rapids decisively, he should be fine.

[The Free North]

Sanders has a near 20k vote lead now.

Doing the math in my head, if Clinton wins with only 66% of the vote in Wayne, it wont be enough, especially if Sanders does well in the West.

[The Free North]

Leaning Sanders at the moment barring the black areas of Wayne voting for Hillary in dramatically higher #s than the exits showed.

Flint is more than offset by Sanders strength in Ann Arbor and Grand Rapids.

[The Free North]

Sanders now only up 9k...if he is going to win, he cannot lose Wayne by a larger margin than 60-30

[The Free North]

Going to be incredibly close if the Wayne margine holds. Sanders needs to keep up his lead in Ann Arbor or Grand Rapids in order to win. Macomb could be the decider here..

[The Free North]

Big dump from Grand Rapids...Sanders back up to 3%....1/2 of Wayne in potential for 24k more for Clinton there, may not be enough...really depends on Macomb.

[The Free North]

Sanders is now 21k ahead statewide and 23k behind in Wayne County. He has more than 2k relative to Clinton still out in the rest of the state.

Exactly my thoughts. Unless there is a huge dump for Clinton in Flint or Macomb I dont think the votes are there for her.

No clue why but Sanders did fantastically well in the state, even in the urban black communities, he did much better than anyone thought he would.

[The Free North]

Chuck Todd saying over 300,000 votes still not counted. That seems real high...

Yeah no way that is true. The math is simply impossible.

[The Free North]

Detroit has 600+ precincts, there are only 300 or so left....chances are there is no big miracle here for Hillary.


Calling it now for Bernie.