IL: Rasmussen: Giannoulias and Kirk now tied
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  IL: Rasmussen: Giannoulias and Kirk now tied
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Author Topic: IL: Rasmussen: Giannoulias and Kirk now tied  (Read 1233 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: August 11, 2010, 08:05:44 AM »

New Poll: Illinois Senator by Rasmussen on 2010-08-10

Summary: D: 40%, R: 40%, I: 8%, U: 12%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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You kip if you want to...
change08
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« Reply #1 on: August 11, 2010, 10:38:06 AM »

Favorable / Unfavorable
Mark Kirk: 42 / 43
Alexi Giannoulias: 39 / 47

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 54 / 46
Gov. Quinn: 36 / 60

Alexi's down 3% and Kirk's down 1% on the last Rass poll (July 28).

If Obama campaigns enough for Giannoulias, I think it's a Dem hold. Still, i'd like to see a bigger variety of polling. The last non-Rass was PPP in June. Maybe Kos/PPP will do a poll.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #2 on: August 11, 2010, 12:30:25 PM »

Kirk's favorables are still better then G-man's. Meaning that people rate a bank scandal higher then Kirk fudging his military record.


It will be close. I think the final result will be 45-44 or 46-45 depending on how much the Green/indies hold there support.
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Franzl
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« Reply #3 on: August 11, 2010, 12:34:02 PM »

I've grown increasingly pessimistic about Kirk's real chances of winning....especially because the Greens very possibly could come home to the DEMs if they think it's close enough.

We'll see what happens in the near future...
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Hashemite
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« Reply #4 on: August 11, 2010, 01:29:06 PM »


Daymn.
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redcommander
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« Reply #5 on: August 11, 2010, 01:32:11 PM »


I know, Brady has a very good chance of winning now.
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CatoMinor
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« Reply #6 on: August 11, 2010, 01:47:09 PM »

I've grown increasingly pessimistic about Kirk's real chances of winning....especially because the Greens very possibly could come home to the DEMs if they think it's close enough.

We'll see what happens in the near future...
Looking at the 2002 and 2006 results, it looks like the greens took more votes away from the GOP
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nkpatel1279
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« Reply #7 on: August 11, 2010, 02:08:57 PM »

What was Blago's Job Approval during the 2006 campaign.
Blago was running for re-election in a DEM favorable year. He is more popular at a personal level than Quinn.
Giannoulias-D will win but it will be by a high single digit margin- He gets 1/2 of the Green Party Nominee support.  plus 1/2 of the Undecided voters.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #8 on: August 11, 2010, 06:08:09 PM »

IL Dem primary voters are idiots.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #9 on: August 11, 2010, 08:49:08 PM »

If we had known what we know now about Giannoulias, which came out after the primary loaning money to felons, Chris Kennedy would have run instead of Hoffman and he would of won.
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Franzl
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« Reply #10 on: August 11, 2010, 10:39:57 PM »

If we had known what we know now about Giannoulias, which came out after the primary loaning money to felons, Chris Kennedy would have run instead of Hoffman and he would of won.

Oh yeah....we didn't know anything about Giannoulias....sure, buddy.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #11 on: August 11, 2010, 11:02:07 PM »

The banking stuff came out about Alexi a few weeks before the primary election, and it was obvious before the primary that Quinn was unpopular and was only going to get more unpopular.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #12 on: August 12, 2010, 12:49:03 PM »

Don't blame me I voted for Hynes but not loaning it to felons part, the Tribune broke the story after the primary.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #13 on: August 12, 2010, 05:01:00 PM »

I've grown increasingly pessimistic about Kirk's real chances of winning....especially because the Greens very possibly could come home to the DEMs if they think it's close enough.

We'll see what happens in the near future...

Well the last Rassy poll had Gman up by 3 41-38. Why be more pessimistic now then last week or the week before when Kirk was doing worse in the polls. Or is it a case of a sinking feeling finally coming to fruition over time?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #14 on: August 15, 2010, 09:30:45 AM »

Quinn and Giannoulias should win, Jim Ryan is much more main stream than Brady was and so was Andy McKenna and Brady won't help with the Seante race.
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