CA-52: Demaio in the lead

[krazen1211]

Link


Demaio 48
Peters 39

[Hifly]

Demaio carried this district by a large margin of 15% at the Mayoral election last year so he should find no trouble winning this district if he actually campaigns competently and starts doing it early.

[Niemeyerite]

Did you need a new topic for this? It has exactly the same title the other had, Krazen.

BTW, SUSA polls are very bad one year before the election.

[DrScholl]

SurveyUSA has had a string of terrible house polls, some too favorable to Democrats, some too favorable to Republicans. I don't see how an incumbent with no problems is down by 9 in a D+2 seat.

And it's irrelevant that DeMaio won part of the district in the non-partisan Mayor's race, federal and local offices are not comparable in elections most of the time.

[Niemeyerite]

SurveyUSA has had a string of terrible house polls, some too favorable to Democrats, some too favorable to Republicans. I don't see how an incumbent with no problems is down by 9 in a D+2 seat.

And it's irrelevant that DeMaio won part of the district in the non-partisan Mayor's race, federal and local offices are not comparable in elections most of the time.

He has a problem of course. Nancy Pelosi.

And Demaio has a bigger one. John Boehner.

[DrScholl]

SurveyUSA has had a string of terrible house polls, some too favorable to Democrats, some too favorable to Republicans. I don't see how an incumbent with no problems is down by 9 in a D+2 seat.

And it's irrelevant that DeMaio won part of the district in the non-partisan Mayor's race, federal and local offices are not comparable in elections most of the time.

He has a problem of course. Nancy Pelosi.

This district is not like SC-1, Republicans have tried to use Pelosi in races out here and it didn't do a thing. You probably didn't know, but this is a D+2 seat, so a Republican has to do a lot better than talking about Nancy Pelosi all the time if they want to win, because it doesn't fly.

[Morning in Atlas]

SurveyUSA has had a string of terrible house polls, some too favorable to Democrats, some too favorable to Republicans. I don't see how an incumbent with no problems is down by 9 in a D+2 seat.

And it's irrelevant that DeMaio won part of the district in the non-partisan Mayor's race, federal and local offices are not comparable in elections most of the time.

He has a problem of course. Nancy Pelosi.

This ain't South Carolina, brother.

[Mr.Phips]

A non-scandal tarred Democrat is trailing by nearly ten points in a Dem tilting district.  Yeah, that makes complete sense.

[publicunofficial]

http://www.kpbs.org/news/2013/jun/19/carl-demaio-congress-reform-san-diego-campaign-fin/

One week in and DeMaio already has an article about his shady fundraising techniques.

Also:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

"SOCIALISM" is a talking point that will work in rural Kansas. Not in San Diego.

[Morning in Atlas]

I tend to agree with the other posters as well. DeMaio doesn't exactly seem like Richard Tisei, and once CA-52 voters realize that, polling numbers will regress to the mean.

At this point, Peters should be mildly worried.

[Niemeyerite]

SurveyUSA has had a string of terrible house polls, some too favorable to Democrats, some too favorable to Republicans. I don't see how an incumbent with no problems is down by 9 in a D+2 seat.

And it's irrelevant that DeMaio won part of the district in the non-partisan Mayor's race, federal and local offices are not comparable in elections most of the time.

He has a problem of course. Nancy Pelosi.

And Demaio has a bigger one. John Boehner.

Apparently not, considering his domination in the polls.

LoL

[Morning in Atlas]

I tend to agree with the other posters as well. DeMaio doesn't exactly seem like Richard Tisei, and once CA-52 voters realize that, polling numbers will regress to the mean.

At this point, Peters should be mildly worried.

Mr. Demaio is pro choice.

Which was debunked by Planned Parenthood. He refused to fill out the questionnaire for it. What does he have to hide?

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Things usually go so well when we let ourselves be led around like cattle by a special interest group.

[Sbane]

SurveyUSA has had a string of terrible house polls, some too favorable to Democrats, some too favorable to Republicans. I don't see how an incumbent with no problems is down by 9 in a D+2 seat.

And it's irrelevant that DeMaio won part of the district in the non-partisan Mayor's race, federal and local offices are not comparable in elections most of the time.

He has a problem of course. Nancy Pelosi.

You think the sexist attacks against Pelosi will work in coastal California?

[Morning in Atlas]

I tend to agree with the other posters as well. DeMaio doesn't exactly seem like Richard Tisei, and once CA-52 voters realize that, polling numbers will regress to the mean.

At this point, Peters should be mildly worried.

Mr. Demaio is pro choice.

Which was debunked by Planned Parenthood. He refused to fill out the questionnaire for it. What does he have to hide?

Ah, so planned parenthood is the ultimate arbiter of whether one is pro-choice or not?

This ain't even about Planned Parenthood. It's about him dodging questions on whether he's actually pro choice or not. Actions speak louder than words, and I see a significant difference between what he says and what he does on abortion.

[DrScholl]

If the NRA ratings can be held in such high esteem, why not Planned Parenthood? He claimed that he's pro-choice, but only after Planned Parenthood rated him as the only candidate in the mayor's race who was not pro-choice. He has no real record other than his own word to suggest that he's pro-choice.

[Morning in Atlas]

I tend to agree with the other posters as well. DeMaio doesn't exactly seem like Richard Tisei, and once CA-52 voters realize that, polling numbers will regress to the mean.

At this point, Peters should be mildly worried.

Mr. Demaio is pro choice.

Which was debunked by Planned Parenthood. He refused to fill out the questionnaire for it. What does he have to hide?

Ah, so planned parenthood is the ultimate arbiter of whether one is pro-choice or not?

This ain't even about Planned Parenthood. It's about him dodging questions on whether he's actually pro choice or not. Actions speak louder than words, and I see a significant difference between what he says and what he does on abortion.

Kindly inform me as to what Mr. Demaio has done on abortion.

Nothing. Literally nothing.

[Hifly]

I tend to agree with the other posters as well. DeMaio doesn't exactly seem like Richard Tisei, and once CA-52 voters realize that, polling numbers will regress to the mean.

At this point, Peters should be mildly worried.

Mr. Demaio is pro choice.

Which was debunked by Planned Parenthood. He refused to fill out the questionnaire for it. What does he have to hide?

Ah, so planned parenthood is the ultimate arbiter of whether one is pro-choice or not?

This ain't even about Planned Parenthood. It's about him dodging questions on whether he's actually pro choice or not. Actions speak louder than words, and I see a significant difference between what he says and what he does on abortion.

Kindly inform me as to what Mr. Demaio has done on abortion.

Nothing. Literally nothing.

So he's not pro life.

[Morning in Atlas]

I tend to agree with the other posters as well. DeMaio doesn't exactly seem like Richard Tisei, and once CA-52 voters realize that, polling numbers will regress to the mean.

At this point, Peters should be mildly worried.

Mr. Demaio is pro choice.

Which was debunked by Planned Parenthood. He refused to fill out the questionnaire for it. What does he have to hide?

Ah, so planned parenthood is the ultimate arbiter of whether one is pro-choice or not?

This ain't even about Planned Parenthood. It's about him dodging questions on whether he's actually pro choice or not. Actions speak louder than words, and I see a significant difference between what he says and what he does on abortion.

Kindly inform me as to what Mr. Demaio has done on abortion.

Nothing. Literally nothing.

So he's not pro life.

All we have is his word to go by. Can't get a link because I'm mobile but he has refused a Planned Parenthood questionnaire. If he isn't pro life he should start acting like it.

[Morning in Atlas]

All we have is his word to go by. Can't get a link because I'm mobile but he has refused a Planned Parenthood questionnaire. If he isn't pro life he should start acting like it.

Planned Parenthood is a mooching entity that wants to suck on government teat. It's quite natural for a spending hawk like Demaio to avoid such miscreants.

Rhetoric like that can't work in a D+1 district. And that's why I'm not worried about him. In my opinion, you can't be pro-life yet disassociate yourself from an organization that heavily promotes birth control. A pro-life stance can work in America, but it seems like only a fraction of America believes that birth control is an abomination. If you want to prevent abortions, the best way to do it is to have affordable birth control and educate kids on how to have safe sex. Banning both only works to harvest Kermit Gosnells.

[DrScholl]

You don't seem like the type to hold the NRA in such high self-esteem.

More importantly, with the recent attack on the 2nd amendment, there is action that they can point to.

I'm just pointing out the hypocrisy, if conservatives tout NRA ratings, Planned Parenthood ratings can be touted. I don't hold any esteem for NRA ratings.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

I wish Bilbray would make another attempt, really. 

[Morning in Atlas]

DeMaio raises close to $500k.

[publicunofficial]

Given Bob Filner's recent troubles, he seems fairly likely to resign.

If that happens, a special election would be held and DeMaio would be the clear favorite to win that.


What are the odds that A) Filner resigns and B) DeMaio drops his congressional campaign in order to run for mayor again?