NH-UNH/WMUR: D: Clinton 74% Biden 10%; R: Paul 16% Ayotte 13% Brown 11%
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  NH-UNH/WMUR: D: Clinton 74% Biden 10%; R: Paul 16% Ayotte 13% Brown 11%
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Author Topic: NH-UNH/WMUR: D: Clinton 74% Biden 10%; R: Paul 16% Ayotte 13% Brown 11%  (Read 687 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: January 30, 2014, 08:21:51 AM »

UNH/WMUR poll of New Hampshire:

http://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/gsp2014_winter_primary012914.pdf

Dems:

Clinton 74%
Biden 10%
Cuomo 2%
Warner 1%
Gillibrand 0%
O'Malley 0%
Schweitzer 0%

GOP:

Paul 16%
Ayotte 13%
Scott Brown 11%
Christie 9%
Ryan 6%
Rubio 6%
Trump 4%
Bush 3%
Cruz 3%
Walker 2%
Perry 2%
Peter King 0%
Portman 0%
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #1 on: January 30, 2014, 08:55:21 AM »

fav/unfav among Democratic primary voters:

Clinton 88/8% for +80%
Biden 53/27% for +26%
Cuomo 38/24% for +14%
Gillibrand 15/10% for +5%
O'Malley 9/8% for +1%
Warner 16/16% for +/-0
Schweitzer 3/11% for -8%

fav/unfav among Republican primary voters:

Paul 49/14% for +35%
Rubio 42/11% for +31%
Ryan 48/20% for +28%
Ayotte 48/27% for +21%
Bush 46/25% for +21%
Walker 30/9% for +21%
Cruz 37/18% for +19%
Scott Brown 45/28% for +17%
Christie 43/33% for +10%
Portman 15/8% for +7%
Perry 32/27% for +5%
Peter King 14/20% for -6%
Trump 29/59% for -30%

They also asked voters from each party who within their own party they would *NOT* vote for under any circumstances:

Dems

Biden 16%
Clinton 5%
Cuomo 3%
Schweitzer 3%
Warner 3%
Gillibrand 3%
O'Malley 0%

GOP

Trump 25%
Christie 9%
Cruz 5%
Brown 5%
Ayotte 5%
Paul 3%
Bush 2%
Perry 2%
Rubio 2%
King 1%
Ryan, Portman, Walker 0% each
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #2 on: January 30, 2014, 09:01:12 AM »

On the GOP side, how leads among….?

Republicans: Ayotte
Independents: Paul
conservatives: Paul
moderates: Ayotte/Christie/Paul tie
support Tea Party: Paul
oppose Tea Party: Christie
neutral on Tea Party: Brown/Paul tie
age 18-34: Paul
age 35-49: Brown
age 50-64: Ayotte/Christie/Paul tie
age 65+: Ayotte
men: Paul
women: Ayotte
high school or less: Paul
some college: Ayotte
college graduate: Brown
post-graduate: Paul
1st CD: Brown
2nd CD: Paul
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IceSpear
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E: -6.19, S: -6.43

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« Reply #3 on: January 30, 2014, 01:40:13 PM »

Does Benghazi make you more or less likely to vote for Hillary Clinton?
More likely: 5%
Less likely: 9%
Little impact: 85%

Does Bridgegate make you more or less likely to vote for Chris Christie?
More likely: 2%
Less likely: 32%
Little impact: 61%

EQUAL SCANDALS EQUAL SCANDALS EQUAL SCANDALS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!11111
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: January 30, 2014, 03:49:42 PM »

Christie lead their last poll with 21%. Assuming GOP can keep Feb to just IA, NH, SC & NV  it is hard to see a path for Christie without a win in NH.

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