Should the next person who posts the "Regression toward the mean'' wiki link...
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  Should the next person who posts the "Regression toward the mean'' wiki link...
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Poll
Question: ... on either the 2014 congressional or gubernatorial poll board like they're a really cool dude be immediately banned?
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
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Total Voters: 14

Author Topic: Should the next person who posts the "Regression toward the mean'' wiki link...  (Read 345 times)
Eraserhead
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« on: October 15, 2014, 10:20:51 PM »
« edited: October 15, 2014, 10:43:46 PM by Eraserhead »

I almost never favor banning folks on here but... discuss.
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Paul Kemp
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: October 15, 2014, 10:32:30 PM »

I was unaware that this atrocity was occurring but yes, most certainly.
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muon2
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« Reply #2 on: October 16, 2014, 05:59:38 AM »

Banned, no. Applauded, yes. At least until the majority on those boards start posting like polls are statistical samples and not mini elections.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #3 on: October 16, 2014, 06:57:09 AM »

Yeah, some statistical literacy is badly needed in the poll threads...
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #4 on: October 16, 2014, 09:06:40 AM »
« Edited: October 16, 2014, 09:59:11 AM by SPC »

I would think that individuals who subscribe to such pseudoscientific beliefs as thinking that a pollster showing numbers consistent with the consensus after previously showing numbers dismissed as an outlier in favor of the leading candidate somehow constitutes "momentum" for the trailing candidate, or that a sample size of two cherry-picked recent elections in which disreputable polling firms constituted a disproportionate share of the polling average in certain states provides evidence of "overpolling," or that analyzing demographic crosstabs with a much smaller sample size than the main poll provides a more accurate picture of the state of a race than the poll itself, would be more deserving of such treatment, rather than those who seek to inculcate a basic sense of statistical knowledge in their fellow poll watchers.
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Paul Kemp
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: October 16, 2014, 09:10:29 AM »

Should the previous three posters be immediately banned? Y/N
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