Colorado 2016 Congressional Races Thread

[Miles]

Bennet just hired a campaign manager, and has an announced challenger, so this should merit its own thread now.

[ElectionsGuy]

CO-6 should be competitive again, even if it was surprisingly decisive last time.

[Mr.Phips]

CO-6 should be competitive again, even if it was surprisingly decisive last time.

That was the wave. 

[Panda Express]

CO-6 should be competitive again, even if it was surprisingly decisive last time.

I'm actually not too optimistic. Coffman is becoming more and more entrenched (especially with his wife being elected Attorney General). Romanoff really should have run in 2012. He's an idiot.

Interesting to see the GOP reviving in Colorado. They are certainly in a much better place than they were just a couple years ago as they maintained control of the three statewide offices besides Governor (AG, SoS and Treasurer).

With Udall going down in flames and Romanoff mortally wounded, the Colorado Dems have suffered a setback. Bennet is kind of antonymous but he is a much smarter and a better politician than Udall. I also doubt that the GOP will be able to put up a candidate of comparable quality to Gardner. Nevertheless, because of the way Colorado is structured, both this race and the Presidential race in Colorado will be quite competitive. The GOP isn't going to let their only pickup opportunity besides Nevada go easily.  

[The Other Castro]

Please oh please let Ken Buck run again

[coloradocowboi]

CO-6 should be competitive again, even if it was surprisingly decisive last time.

With Udall going down in flames and Romanoff mortally wounded, the Colorado Dems have suffered a setback. Bennet is kind of antonymous but he is a much smarter and a better politician than Udall. I also doubt that the GOP will be able to put up a candidate of comparable quality to Gardner. Nevertheless, because of the way Colorado is structured, both this race and the Presidential race in Colorado will be quite competitive. The GOP isn't going to let their only pickup opportunity besides Nevada go easily.  

What are you talking about? He lost by 2.5 points in a GOP wave year with voter turnout at nearly 50% of what it is in a regular year.

The GOP in CO is on a long, slow death march. Yeah, you'll win a few statewide races here and there. You might even win another Senate race or governor's race again. But, you all went from near total domination of the state leg for half a century to not even being able to pick up both chambers of it in the biggest GOP wave in living memory. We're being Californiafied and the state GOP keeps unmuzzling idiots like Tony Sanchez and Gordon Klingenschmitt, furthering the belief that the GOP is insane. When voter turnout in CD6 doubles for the next Pres. election, I hope that Mr. Entrenched is ready, because just two years ago he was nearly taken down by Joe Miklosi.

The only reason he won so big this year is because the CDP and Obama snubbed Latinos so they didn't turn out. I think that if somebody like Rhonda Fields or Linda Newell or Karen Middleton can mobilize suburban moms in Greenwood village and Latinos turn out for Hillary, Coffman is at a 50-50 chance.

Bennet will win, no matter what. Who will run against him, Buck? Cynthia? She won by outspending her opponent 10:1, but MB won't hesitate to air her dirty laundry everywhere. She's a gay-hating anti-abortion oil-billionaire-loving extremist who hasn't worked a day in a courtroom since the 1990s.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

CO-6 should be competitive again, even if it was surprisingly decisive last time.

With Udall going down in flames and Romanoff mortally wounded, the Colorado Dems have suffered a setback. Bennet is kind of antonymous but he is a much smarter and a better politician than Udall. I also doubt that the GOP will be able to put up a candidate of comparable quality to Gardner. Nevertheless, because of the way Colorado is structured, both this race and the Presidential race in Colorado will be quite competitive. The GOP isn't going to let their only pickup opportunity besides Nevada go easily.  

What are you talking about? He lost by 2.5 points in a GOP wave year with voter turnout at nearly 50% of what it is in a regular year.

The GOP in CO is on a long, slow death march. Yeah, you'll win a few statewide races here and there. You might even win another Senate race or governor's race again. But, you all went from near total domination of the state leg for half a century to not even being able to pick up both chambers of it in the biggest GOP wave in living memory. We're being Californiafied and the state GOP keeps unmuzzling idiots like Tony Sanchez and Gordon Klingenschmitt, furthering the belief that the GOP is insane. When voter turnout in CD6 doubles for the next Pres. election, I hope that Mr. Entrenched is ready, because just two years ago he was nearly taken down by Joe Miklosi.

The only reason he won so big this year is because the CDP and Obama snubbed Latinos so they didn't turn out. I think that if somebody like Rhonda Fields or Linda Newell or Karen Middleton can mobilize suburban moms in Greenwood village and Latinos turn out for Hillary, Coffman is at a 50-50 chance.

Bennet will win, no matter what. Who will run against him, Buck? Cynthia? She won by outspending her opponent 10:1, but MB won't hesitate to air her dirty laundry everywhere. She's a gay-hating anti-abortion oil-billionaire-loving extremist who hasn't worked a day in a courtroom since the 1990s.

[Panda Express]

CO-6 should be competitive again, even if it was surprisingly decisive last time.

With Udall going down in flames and Romanoff mortally wounded, the Colorado Dems have suffered a setback. Bennet is kind of antonymous but he is a much smarter and a better politician than Udall. I also doubt that the GOP will be able to put up a candidate of comparable quality to Gardner. Nevertheless, because of the way Colorado is structured, both this race and the Presidential race in Colorado will be quite competitive. The GOP isn't going to let their only pickup opportunity besides Nevada go easily.  

What are you talking about? He lost by 2.5 points in a GOP wave year with voter turnout at nearly 50% of what it is in a regular year.

First off, he lost by 2 points, not 2.5 so you are way off. Second, Udall was the big Dem name in Colorado politics and regardless of how many points he lost by, he went down in flames. He shouldn't have lost but he did in part because of a poor campaign and in part because the media was ridiculously biased in favor of Cory Gardner who is really short. Let's not spin this by saying he "only" lost by 2 points. A loss is a loss and he went down.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

None of that is really pertinent to my point which is that the GOP has rebounded in the past few years. This really isn't debatable and I have no idea why you're so outraged over this statement. They control all of the statewide office sans governor and control the majority of the CDs. Now, are the long term prospects for the GOP bleak looking because of the demographics and whatnot? Sure. But that isn't what I said. I said they merely have a bench now, something they didn't have just a few years ago. You red avatars are so touchy and like to go bonkers and the smallest things.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Yes, but back in 2012 he wasn't Mr. Entrenched. He was Mr. Unentrenched. Now, he has become Mr. Entrenched.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Ok. Maybe. All I said is that I wasn't confident that Coffman would go down. I said he was easier to beat back in 2012 when he was in a new district and that he has become a stronger candidate now that he has served several terms, become more entrenched and started voting more moderate. All of that is true. But no, you gotta go and fly off the rails. Well, that's not going to fly in the Colorado Megathread son. Nowhere did I say Coffman was a lock. I just said I wasn't confident we could take him out.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

I said Bennett should win as long as he runs a good campaign and doesn't say stupid things. To say he'll win no matter what is a ridiculous thing to say but whatever.

[Xing]

If turnout is more favorable in 2016, I'd expect Bennet to win. Of course, it's not a sure thing, but I don't see Bennet going down unless the Democrats are having a very bad night. Considering that Coffman survived in 2012, I doubt he'd lose in 2016 except in a wave. If he were to challenge Bennet, leaving CO-6 open, however, that would be a different story...

[Miles]

^ And keep in mind that turnout in CO, even in 2014 was already higher than most states (at 55%).