NH Strange Rules - If Bernie gets less than 57% Votes, equal delegates split
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  NH Strange Rules - If Bernie gets less than 57% Votes, equal delegates split
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Author Topic: NH Strange Rules - If Bernie gets less than 57% Votes, equal delegates split  (Read 3198 times)
Erc
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #25 on: February 09, 2016, 11:56:28 AM »

Actually looking some more at NH, it has 3 PLEO and 5 at large delegates. Getting the majority but less than 70% of the 2 person vote gets you 5 of those 8.

Most likely Bernie wins 4 of NH-01, 5 of NH-02, and 5 statewide, for a total of 14 out of 24.

PLEO = Superdelegates, they aren't awarded proportionally

jfern is right.  There are two types of PLEOs.  Unpledged PLEOs (your normal superdelegates) and pledged PLEOs (pledged At-Large delegates that must go to some party leader or elected official at the local level, though the campaigns I believe have a choice here).  New Hampshire has 3 pledged PLEOs that will be allocated on the basis of the statewide vote (2-1 Sanders) and 8 unpledged PLEOs (6 for Clinton).
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IceSpear
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« Reply #26 on: February 09, 2016, 03:37:49 PM »

Delegates don't matter. Early contests are solely about momentum.

Besides, if you start getting into the minutiae of delegate allocation, Hillary has already won. Sanders' only hope is to defeat her comfortably or in a landslide and make it a moot point.

Fun fact: It's possible for superdelegates to switch endorsements. It's already happened earlier this election cycle.

Key word = possible. It's not gonna happen, at least not on a grand scale.
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Erc
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #27 on: February 09, 2016, 03:46:27 PM »

Delegates don't matter. Early contests are solely about momentum.

Besides, if you start getting into the minutiae of delegate allocation, Hillary has already won. Sanders' only hope is to defeat her comfortably or in a landslide and make it a moot point.

Fun fact: It's possible for superdelegates to switch endorsements. It's already happened earlier this election cycle.

Key word = possible. It's not gonna happen, at least not on a grand scale.

Yep.  The elected Democratic establishment are not going to give up the nomination to an entryist without a fight.  This scenario is one of the reasons why the superdelegates exist.  Barring an indictment, they are not defecting en masse to Sanders.  Clinton already has nearly 60% of the superdelegates, and presumably many more in her back pocket that we don't know about yet.  And Sanders is, understandably, making very little effort to court them, while Clinton is.
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #28 on: February 09, 2016, 04:01:57 PM »

If Sanders could pull off winning 14 of 24 pledged delegates it would put him in the lead for overall pledged delegates. While only a small fraction of what is needed to win and still trailing when you include supers, I suspect his campaign will tout his "pledged delegate lead" all the way to NV.    Of course, it is likely that after NV, he will never lead again.
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