Can Trump win Maine's 2nd district?
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Author Topic: Can Trump win Maine's 2nd district?  (Read 914 times)
Senator Spark
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« on: June 05, 2016, 10:45:07 AM »
Due to his appeal among working class voters and those disaffected by trade agreements. Would he have a chance?
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standwrand
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« Reply #1 on: June 05, 2016, 10:46:49 AM »
If Trump takes MI, then he'll take ME-02
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Tartarus Sauce
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« Reply #2 on: June 05, 2016, 10:52:49 AM »
Quote from: standwrand on June 05, 2016, 10:46:49 AM
If Trump takes MI, then he'll take ME-02

In other words, no.
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Ljube
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« Reply #3 on: June 05, 2016, 11:57:43 AM »
Yes, he can. But he won't compete for it.
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CrabCake
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« Reply #4 on: June 05, 2016, 12:20:33 PM »
It might drift right in the PVI, but I don't think it would be more Republican than the nation as a whole.
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Gabagool102
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« Reply #5 on: June 05, 2016, 12:39:04 PM »
Quote from: Spark498 on June 05, 2016, 10:45:07 AM
Due to his appeal among working class voters and those disaffected by trade agreements. Would he have a chance?

He can win it, but I highly doubt he would spend resources for it.
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YaBoyNY
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« Reply #6 on: June 05, 2016, 01:01:01 PM »
no lol
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Xing
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« Reply #7 on: June 05, 2016, 01:04:59 PM »
It's possible, but not at all as likely as some people here seem to think it is. Midterm results do not necessarily correlate to overall trends. I'd rate it Likely D.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #8 on: June 05, 2016, 01:10:23 PM »
It's possible, but unlikely.
But he wont take the entire state (and thus ME 1st cong dist).
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Coolface Sock #42069
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« Reply #9 on: June 05, 2016, 02:31:48 PM »
Quote from: Redban on June 05, 2016, 12:29:40 PM
Quote from: Ljube on June 05, 2016, 11:57:43 AM
Yes, he can. But he won't compete for it.

Agree -- there are not enough electoral votes.to justify putting resources into this place.
It really wouldn't take many resources. It's only one congressional district (about 700,000 people), and the media markets there can't be that expensive.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #10 on: June 05, 2016, 02:42:23 PM »
Quote from: whitesox130 on June 05, 2016, 02:31:48 PM
Quote from: Redban on June 05, 2016, 12:29:40 PM
Quote from: Ljube on June 05, 2016, 11:57:43 AM
Yes, he can. But he won't compete for it.

Agree -- there are not enough electoral votes.to justify putting resources into this place.

It really wouldn't take many resources. It's only one congressional district (about 700,000 people), and the media markets there can't be that expensive.

I don't agree with you.
Do you know how expensive it is to deliver flyers/mail to these people via Moose ?
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #11 on: June 05, 2016, 03:51:24 PM »
Possibly, very unlikely though, I would say a 15% chance he wins it. 
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Wisconsin+17
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« Reply #12 on: June 05, 2016, 03:53:12 PM »
Can he? Sure. Will he? No.
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Santander
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« Reply #13 on: June 05, 2016, 04:03:00 PM »
He could, but there's no realistic scenario in which it takes him over the top.
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Senator Spark
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« Reply #14 on: June 05, 2016, 04:09:28 PM »
Quote from: Santander on June 05, 2016, 04:03:00 PM
He could, but there's no realistic scenario in which it takes him over the top.

Only a tie
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Downnice
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« Reply #15 on: June 05, 2016, 04:58:14 PM »
It depends. If New Hampshire goes Red this year then I think Maine's second district is in play
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Maxwell
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« Reply #16 on: June 05, 2016, 05:13:18 PM »
Quote from: CrabCake on June 05, 2016, 12:20:33 PM
It might drift right in the PVI, but I don't think it would be more Republican than the nation as a whole.

Agreed - and I think Poliquin will hold on narrowly and become a stable presence in this district.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #17 on: June 05, 2016, 07:10:14 PM »
I doubt it.  He's unlikely to win any electoral votes from the Northeast.
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indietraveler
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« Reply #18 on: June 05, 2016, 07:14:02 PM »
He could, but he'll focus on other states he can win. I'm thinking NY and IL.
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Badger
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« Reply #19 on: June 06, 2016, 01:09:18 AM »
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