Ipsos: Clinton's Lead Is Softer Than It Appears
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  Ipsos: Clinton's Lead Is Softer Than It Appears
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Author Topic: Ipsos: Clinton's Lead Is Softer Than It Appears  (Read 725 times)
Seriously?
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« on: August 18, 2016, 03:12:15 AM »

The crux of the blog is that the top three issues in the campaign are the economy/job, terrorism and "fixing our broken system."

While Clinton leads by eight according to the author, her lead is just 5 points on handling the economy, negative 1 on terrorism and even on "fixing our broken system." The argument goes that as these three issues go, so does the election.

For the purpose of full disclosure, the latest Reuters/Ipsos release actually has Clinton up by just 6 points in both the 2-way and 4-way, not eight as cited by the pollster. The RCP average is 6.0/6.2.

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Sourcing: http://spotlight.ipsos-na.com/index.php/public-affairs/does-clintons-8-point-lead-look-softer-at-first-blush/
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #1 on: August 18, 2016, 03:17:40 AM »

While it is true that the election isn't over yet, it is not because "muh three issues". In fact, even if you use the argument that "as the issues go, so goes the election" don't narrow it down to just three. Their are countless other issues and reasons people vote for one candidate over another.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #2 on: August 18, 2016, 03:38:22 AM »

Sounds like arse coverage.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
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« Reply #3 on: August 18, 2016, 03:41:02 AM »

As long as 70% of the country think we're going in the wrong direction, Trump is well on his way to a 50-state sweep. None of the other poll numbers matter
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #4 on: August 18, 2016, 03:44:49 AM »

While it is true that the election isn't over yet, it is not because "muh three issues". In fact, even if you use the argument that "as the issues go, so goes the election" don't narrow it down to just three. Their are countless other issues and reasons people vote for one candidate over another.

Completely agree.
One of the main issues in most people's minds (against trump) goes something like this ....
Someone has been in an insane asylum, we get to know this person as "crazy," then patient is released, still acts "nutty" here and there, runs for president, and then we are all asked "trust this guy to run our nation and have the nuclear codes."
Are we suppose to say "OK, sure why not .... that sounds like an excellent idea."
NOT !
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Ebsy
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« Reply #5 on: August 18, 2016, 03:46:43 AM »

You are unhinged.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #6 on: August 18, 2016, 04:09:16 AM »

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Cruzcrew
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« Reply #7 on: August 18, 2016, 06:59:55 AM »

The problem for him is he's definitely motivated a significant amount of potential democrats to vote against him because of his perception as a racist there. Not to mention, an easy majority of this country finds his personality repulsive so that has to drag him down despite making it close on the 3 issues.
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Fuzzy Bear
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« Reply #8 on: August 18, 2016, 07:19:50 AM »

That Trump isn't down double digits indicates that there is a lot of resistance to Hillary Clinton, even now.

If the election were held today, Clinton would win, and win by a decisive margin.  Clinton is still vulnerable, however, to deeper revelations about her own conduct, and to events she cannot control.
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Senator Spark
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« Reply #9 on: August 18, 2016, 11:58:15 AM »

The crux of the blog is that the top three issues in the campaign are the economy/job, terrorism and "fixing our broken system."

While Clinton leads by eight according to the author, her lead is just 5 points on handling the economy, negative 1 on terrorism and even on "fixing our broken system." The argument goes that as these three issues go, so does the election.

For the purpose of full disclosure, the latest Reuters/Ipsos release actually has Clinton up by just 6 points in both the 2-way and 4-way, not eight as cited by the pollster. The RCP average is 6.0/6.2.

Relevant Quotes:

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Sourcing: http://spotlight.ipsos-na.com/index.php/public-affairs/does-clintons-8-point-lead-look-softer-at-first-blush/

Trump does best in all three IMO, and thus will win the election. He was leading on the economy some time ago but will probably lead again soon. The debates will definitely change the dynamics of this race, and will have a drastic effect on the voters.
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« Reply #10 on: August 18, 2016, 12:15:00 PM »

Gary Johnson would smoke both of them in this poll.
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #11 on: August 18, 2016, 12:15:42 PM »

Gary Johnson would smoke both of them in this poll.
Sure he would
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