favorability #s of both parties’ nominees

[Mr. Morden]

3.5 years from now, in August 2020, what will be the fav/unfav #s for the nominees of both major parties?  Do we now live under a media environment in which each major party candidate is going to get hammered so much that they’ll inevitably be unpopular?  Or could the Dems (or the Republicans for that matter) nominate someone whose popularity could withstand a general election campaign?

[The Govanah Jake]

Well we dont know who will be each Major Partys nominee. Trump will probably be the Republicans nominee and given his Ratings right now, if he makes it then then it will depend on his presidency. If he flukes and still runs and wins the nomination then maybe he could pull the numbers he did for this one and pull in the 30s in Fav. ratings. If he is Mediocre and is seen say 50/50 by his Supporters and Washington then he could probably hold around the upper 40s to mid 50s. If he is the Second incarnation of Reagan then 55-75%. As for the Democrats it is all for plays. It depends on the nominee and what they do for the next 3.5 years. All suspected 2020 Democratic nominees right now have reality low and undecided approval rating. For instance Warren as 34-31 Approval rating with 32 undecided. Time will tell. As for the Media factor, The media definitively reduce many politicians approval ratings due to bad or 24 hour coverage of there every move. However if the Republican/Democrat is good at least to its base, remain non scandalous, and runs on message then there support could remain intact or raise.