Zogby: Primary and General Election Poll

[Reaganfan]

http://zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1252

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
Giuliani: 29%
McCain: 20%

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
Clinton: 33%
Obama: 25%
Edwards: 12%

GENERAL ELECTION

Giuliani: 47%
Clinton: 40%

McCain: 47%
Clinton: 39%

Obama: 46%
Giuliani: 40%

Obama: 44%
McCain: 40%

Giuliani: 46%
Edwards: 40%

McCain: 47%
Edwards: 38%

[minionofmidas]

Eh... shame it's just Zogby.

[Mr. Morden]

Correct me if I'm wrong, but is 25% the highest that Obama has gotten in any national Dem. primary poll ever?  Also the first poll I've seen in which Obama beats Clinton among blacks.  I also think this might be first ever national poll in which Romney does better than Gingrich.

[Verily]

I believe it is; he's been at 24% in a poll, and at 21% in the poll that showed him one point short of Clinton, so this is probably the highest for him. I believe Romney had outperformed Gingrich in a couple of early polls, though. This might show signs of a stagnation in McCain's collapse and the continued dimming of Clinton's star. Or it might just be Zogby.

[TheresNoMoney]

Go Obama!!

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Go Obama!!

[Eraserhead]

I'd love for these numbers to be real but they seem a little too good to be true for Obama (especially in the general election against Giuliani).

[Sam Spade]

It's Zogby.  Who knows?

[Verily]

Rasmussen does seem to be in concurrence with Zogby, at least on the Democratic primary.

[Keystone Phil]

Giuliani is leading McCain by nine in a Zogby poll?





I am so relieved that McCain has finally taken the lead!

[Eraserhead]

Giuliani is leading McCain by nine in a Zogby poll?





I am so relieved that McCain has finally taken the lead!

I wouldn't be so thrilled. Zogby's telephone polls actually weren't too bad in the last election. Its his "interactive polls" and personal predictions that are always total crap.

[Verily]

Giuliani is leading McCain by nine in a Zogby poll?





I am so relieved that McCain has finally taken the lead!

It would be just as impressive if Zogby were always wrong as if Zogby were always right.

[Mr. Morden]

Another interesting tidbit from this poll:

"Among those Republican voters who consider themselves “very conservative,” Romney wins 23%, compared to 22% for former U.S. House Speaker Newt Gingrich. The much–ballyhooed very conservative vote is split even more among second–tier candidates, with Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice winning 13% support and Sen. Sam Brownback winning 9%. Giuliani (4%) and McCain (3%) failed to win more than token support among this demographic."

Of course it's to be expected that the most conservative voters would prefer other candidates over Giuliani and McCain, but I wouldn't have expected them to be doing *that* poorly among that group.  That is a bit surprising.