VA-SurveyUSA: Obama leads by 6

Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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VA-SurveyUSA: Obama leads by 6

« on: October 20, 2008, 12:59:29 PM »

Obama - 51
McCain - 45

800 state of Virginia adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 10/18/08 and 10/19/08. Of them, 740 were registered to vote. Of them, 652 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the general election on 11/04/08. Virginia has 13 Electoral College votes. George W. Bush carried Virginia by 8 points in both 2004 and 2000. The state is a "must hold" for McCain.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=1e186b4f-7e66-49ae-a567-b32211f61efd

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Rowan
RowanBrandon
Junior Chimp

Posts: 6,692

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E: 1.94, S: 4.70

Re: VA-SurveyUSA: Obama leads by 6

« Reply #1 on: October 20, 2008, 01:07:52 PM »

Tightening as expected.

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TheGlobalizer
Sr. Member

Posts: 3,286

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E: 6.84, S: -7.13

Re: VA-SurveyUSA: Obama leads by 6

« Reply #2 on: October 20, 2008, 01:27:52 PM »

Strange, didn't expect to see the tightening coming from SUSA.

I still think VA is a nailbiter.

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Rococo4
Jr. Member

Posts: 1,491

Re: VA-SurveyUSA: Obama leads by 6

« Reply #3 on: October 20, 2008, 01:43:23 PM »

I have to admit that I am concerned about VA. I never thought I would be. I still think it is a coin toss.....but I cant just keep dismissing polls forever

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TheGlobalizer
Sr. Member

Posts: 3,286

Political Matrix
E: 6.84, S: -7.13

Re: VA-SurveyUSA: Obama leads by 6

« Reply #4 on: October 20, 2008, 03:07:52 PM »

Quote from: Rococo4 on October 20, 2008, 01:43:23 PM

I have to admit that I am concerned about VA. I never thought I would be. I still think it is a coin toss.....but I cant just keep dismissing polls forever

Yeah, I'm shocked with how consistent it is in favor of Obama. I still don't buy +10, but it seems to be a lean Obama state, which I wouldn't have expected.

I wonder if the Senate race is having a significant effect on McCain's numbers.

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Eraserhead
Atlas Legend

Posts: 44,662

Re: VA-SurveyUSA: Obama leads by 6

« Reply #5 on: October 20, 2008, 03:33:09 PM »

Quote from: TheGlobalizer on October 20, 2008, 01:27:52 PM

Strange, didn't expect to see the tightening coming from SUSA.

I still think VA is a nailbiter.

It looks like anything but a nailbiter at the moment.

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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar

Posts: 30,329

Re: VA-SurveyUSA: Obama leads by 6

« Reply #6 on: October 20, 2008, 05:44:19 PM »

Hell yeah

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TheGlobalizer
Sr. Member

Posts: 3,286

Political Matrix
E: 6.84, S: -7.13

Re: VA-SurveyUSA: Obama leads by 6

« Reply #7 on: October 20, 2008, 07:07:46 PM »

Quote from: Eraserhead on October 20, 2008, 03:33:09 PM

Quote from: TheGlobalizer on October 20, 2008, 01:27:52 PM

Strange, didn't expect to see the tightening coming from SUSA.

I still think VA is a nailbiter.

It looks like anything but a nailbiter at the moment.

Yes, I'm aware what the polls say.

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Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
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Posts: 14,703

Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

Re: VA-SurveyUSA: Obama leads by 6

« Reply #8 on: October 23, 2008, 10:12:12 AM »

Republican 34% (30%): McCain 86% (83%); Obama 11% (15%)

Democrat 40% (39%): McCain 9% (9%); Obama 88% (89%)

Independent 25% (25%): McCain 46% (46%); Obama 47% (45%)

Conservative 32% (29%): McCain 75% (81%); Obama 23% (15%)

Moderate 45% (39%): McCain 39% (33%); Obama 57% (65%)

Liberal 17% (14%): McCain 15% (12%); Obama 81% (86%)

(denotes SUSA, Oct. 4-5, 2008)

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