And for my next trick... I predict... NEVADA.....

[The Vorlon]

Hot on the heals of my successful prognostication of the West Virginia Race...

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=123851.0

(I was right "one in a row".. which ties a personal best actually......)

The GOP's new tactic in Nevada will be.....

"Hi I'm Sharron Angle, I'm crazy loony-toons nuts... but I've started taking my medication again...."

This is, of course, a modest paraphrase, but essentially the GOP pollsters have concluded that Reid has topped out at 48%, Reid's negatives just simply can't get any worse no matter what they do, so they need soften the intensity of Angle's negatives for her to get an edge.

Angle's new campaigns will be along the lines of (Cue up soothing music, lots of cute puppies, apple pie, flags, small children, patriotic music...)

"Hi I'm Sharon Angle, I've listened and learn a lot from Nevada these last few months, I'ver heard from you that (insert moderate sounding plaititudes....), so please vote for me...."

In polling terms, they are trying to move folks from "Strongly disapprove" to "Somewhat dissapprove"

You know it's a twisted race and a twisted year when a candidate with a 51% chance of winning has the campaign objective of trying to raise their "somewhat disapprove" ratings...

How do you track this I wonder...

Change the approval/disapproval question..

Thinking of Sharon Angle, do you

Approve
Somewhat approvew
Somewhat disapprove
Really disapprove
Really dislike and disapprove
Absolutely loath dispise and detest

[Meeker]

You were not correct in regards to West Virginia. There was one poorly made ad based upon the strategy you suggested which started airing well after the Raese surge occurred.

ETA: Though I still think you're a pretty smart guy overall

[The Vorlon]

You were not correct in regards to West Virginia. There was one poorly made ad based upon the strategy you suggested which started airing well after the Raese surge occurred.

ETA: Though I still think you're a pretty smart guy overall

Damn! - back down to zero in a row

But seriously, Angle will start running some "Re-introduction" spots to better define nevada voters perceptions of her this week.

[Torie]

Do I get any credit for this post made on Aug 21, when I said WV would be in play?    This was before Raese made his move in the polls I might add.  I mean, anyone can read poll numbers.

I also made another where I observed that Angle's therapy seemed to be doing her some good.

Yes, I blew Delaware. On Aug 21, I deemed it a pretty safe GOP pickup.

[The Vorlon]

Do I get any credit for this post made on Aug 21, when I said WV would be in play?    This was before Raese made his move in the polls I might add.  I mean, anyone can read poll numbers.

I also made another where I observed that Angle's therapy seemed to be doing her some good.

That you did

Got any "Karnac the Magnificent" you want to share re Illinois? - I not sure what is more ed up there, the polling or the Candidates..

But yes, you did get WV early and, apparently, right

[Joe Republic]

If it's any help whatsoever, Angle's current ads are attacking Reid over illegal immigration.

Also, the chairman of Ashjian's fake party quit his campaign and endorsed Angle, after Ashjian released the recording of Angle's attempt at corrupt deal-making with him.

[BillyW]

I'm beginning to feel pretty good about Nevada. Not so much because Angle has a lead in the polls because its not that much and within the MOE but because Reid just cannot break 50. He seems to be stuck at no more than mid 40's. I'm just not sure he reaches 50 or close to it accounting for other candidates.

I also have a theory that candidates who are vilified by the media, poll less than what they recieve at the ballot box. Some people who might not admit to a pollster they are voting for so and so will do so in the privacy of a polling place. I'm too lazy to do any research on it buts it a great theory

[Joe Biden 2020]

My aunt, who lives in Las Vegas and a staunch conservative, gives this analysis of Sharron Angle.  "She's not my first choice, and I think Nevada is starting to realize her ineptness, but she's better and will probably beat Harry Reid."  She also put the timer on John Ensign.

I think Angle takes it, but not until late in the night Pacific time, which would be early in the morning Eastern time.

[Oakvale]

Not being from Nevada, I'm not sure how significant this is, but apparently Nevada Senate Republican leader Bill Raggio has "reluctantly" endorsed Harry Reid, while being quick to point out that he doesn't like liberals, Obama, and so on.

[Brittain33]

Not being from Nevada, I'm not sure how significant this is, but apparently Nevada Senate Republican leader Bill Raggio has "reluctantly" endorsed Harry Reid, while being quick to point out that he doesn't like liberals, Obama, and so on.

He mentions in his endorsement that she tried to personally teabag him in their state senate district, so that means he has a bit of a grudge.

[Keystone Phil]

He mentions in his endorsement that she tried to personally teabag him in their state senate district

Interesting visual.

[Lunar]

Delaware is similar

O'Donnell: 'I've matured'


http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1010/43316.html