Why are people so sure of a Romney win?
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Author Topic: Why are people so sure of a Romney win?  (Read 699 times)
Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
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« on: August 06, 2012, 08:26:28 PM »
Why do they think he has this election in the bag?
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Supersonic
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« Reply #1 on: August 06, 2012, 08:39:08 PM »
They don't. Only a few Rombot hacks are so sure.

Any sane person recognises the huge difficulty Romney faces in this election. From a horrible EV map, inability to 'connect' well on a personal level, incumbent 'Presidential' advantage to weak ground organization etc.

Ultimately, the election will come down to whether voter perception of the economy either improves, remains the same, or declines from late August to November. Improves and it's a 2008 all over again. Status-quo is probably a 270-303EV Obama win, with a small chance of a very narrow Romney win. A decline would mean a locked on Romney win.

Nobody should call this election now.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #2 on: August 06, 2012, 08:41:29 PM »
He doesn't.  It's a tossup, a 50-50 race by all accounts.
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pepper11
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« Reply #3 on: August 06, 2012, 09:34:18 PM »

Anyone who is sure their side will win is deluding themselves.
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mondale84
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« Reply #4 on: August 06, 2012, 09:35:48 PM »
They're just trolling.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #5 on: August 06, 2012, 10:11:05 PM »
Because that's what they want to believe. Reading what some say, you'd think that Romney doesn't even have to campaign and has already won.
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #6 on: August 06, 2012, 10:13:05 PM »
Quote from: diskymike44 on August 06, 2012, 08:26:28 PM
Why do they think he has this election in the bag?

Same could be said for liberal hacks, as well, thinking Obama has this election in the bag.  It truly is anybody's election.  Romney is sitting comfortably right now, just 1-2% behind, but Obama is still in the lead.  I truly don't think we'll know the winner until early Wednesday morning, November 7, 2012.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #7 on: August 06, 2012, 10:21:13 PM »
Neither candidate has the election in the bag, but I'd rather be Obama right now than I would Mittens.
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Lincoln Republican
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« Reply #8 on: August 06, 2012, 10:41:42 PM »
I don't think anyone is "so sure of a Romney win."

I am a Romney supporter and I am certainly not so sure of a Romney win.

One thing for sure on this forum is that many of the Obama supporters are certain of an Obama win, however. 



 
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
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« Reply #9 on: August 06, 2012, 10:45:36 PM »
Three months are a long time in politics. No sane person would bet his life on either Obama or Romney having this in a bag as we speak.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #10 on: August 06, 2012, 10:49:33 PM »
Quote from: OBAMA = NIXON II on August 06, 2012, 10:41:42 PM
One thing for sure on this forum is that many of the Obama supporters are certain of an Obama win, however. 

[citation needed]
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #11 on: August 06, 2012, 11:08:17 PM »
^LOL, that's quite the double-standard there.
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argentarius
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« Reply #12 on: August 07, 2012, 11:49:01 AM »
Why are democrats telling themselves Romney fans are sure of victory?
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SUSAN CRUSHBONE
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« Reply #13 on: August 07, 2012, 01:00:34 PM »
diskymike, you yourself seemed to be pretty sure of a Romney win not too long ago: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=154848.0
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CLARENCE 2015!
clarence
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« Reply #14 on: August 07, 2012, 01:17:29 PM »
Quote from: The Pope on August 06, 2012, 10:45:36 PM
Three months are a long time in politics. No sane person would bet his life on either Obama or Romney having this in a bag as we speak.
This is correct...
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Dereich
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« Reply #15 on: August 07, 2012, 03:02:52 PM »
People here certainly aren't; just looking at this poll result says more then enough about what we believe:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=157035.0
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #16 on: August 07, 2012, 03:12:48 PM »
Quote from: Dereich on August 07, 2012, 03:02:52 PM
People here certainly aren't; just looking at this poll result says more then enough about what we believe:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=157035.0
Well even if you believe Obama is +2 now, I could see how someone could believe that Romney will win. If you are betting that Romney gets bumps from VP, Convention and Debates. If you were a supporter, you would have to believe your guy is better than the other and so all
that would get him to be at least even with Obama if not ahead. And many seem to believe undecideds will break for the challenger, giving him another point.

I don't buy all that, but it isn't unreasonable or crazy to think it. It would be a bit much to be sure, but only hacks are sure of anything.
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