Who wins Grand County, Utah?

[Mister Twister]

Obama only carried this county by a few points in 2008 and Utah is expected to swing strongly towards Romney this election BUT Grand County is the least Mormon county in Utah (Only 26% Mormon). So, Romney might not be very effective here.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

I expect Romney to carry every county in Utah, even that one which went to Obama by about 10%. It's going to be insane.

[LiberalJunkie]

Romney. I only expect maybe 1 county to go for Obama and it's not this one.

[LastVoter]

I only expect Summit county to go for Obama. Maybe Salt Lake if there was a huge explosion of Hispanic voters since 2010.

[tmthforu94]

Romney, of course.

Non-Mormons have very fond thoughts of Romney as well, specifically because of the Olympics there. I can honestly say that of all the people I talked to when I was in Utah for almost 2 months this summer, not one person, Mormon or non-Mormon, had an ill word to say about Mitt.

[Joe Biden 2020]

It should go for Romney.  I expect Salt Lake County to be close, possibly tilt Democrat due to reverse coattails.  CD-2 and the new CD-4 will both contain part of Salt Lake County and from what I've heard both may go Democratic.  CD-2 is where Democrat Jim Matheson is currently representing, but is running for CD_4 this time around.  He is expected to beat Republican rival and Saratoga Springs Mayor Mia Love.  It has been a nasty race just in the 3 1/2 weeks I've been in Utah.  Jim Matheson should carry CD-4 and CD-2 should remain with the Democrats.  So, I expect Utah will have 2 R and 2 D in Congress, and those two D's should help push Obama barely over the top in Salt Lake County.

[DrScholl]

Probably just barely Romney, it never really goes extremely Republican and Democrats have a floor of about 44%. It wouldn't be that surprising if Obama carried it though, because Romney doesn't not have a super special home state advantage with non-Mormons and that's where all the swing will occur.

[Mister Twister]

I don't know guys, I think you are all all wrong about Grand County here.

The hispanic population has about doubled in this past decade in Grand County. Back when Bush beat Kerry here 51-44%, the hispanic population was about 5%. Now, as of 2010, it is 10%.

[Nichlemn]

It should go for Romney.  I expect Salt Lake County to be close, possibly tilt Democrat due to reverse coattails.  CD-2 and the new CD-4 will both contain part of Salt Lake County and from what I've heard both may go Democratic.  CD-2 is where Democrat Jim Matheson is currently representing, but is running for CD_4 this time around.  He is expected to beat Republican rival and Saratoga Springs Mayor Mia Love.  It has been a nasty race just in the 3 1/2 weeks I've been in Utah.  Jim Matheson should carry CD-4 and CD-2 should remain with the Democrats.  So, I expect Utah will have 2 R and 2 D in Congress, and those two D's should help push Obama barely over the top in Salt Lake County.

lol wat. All major prognosticators have UT-02 as Safe R, and I'm not aware of any evidence that non-negligible "reverse coattails" exist.

[Zioneer]

It should go for Romney.  I expect Salt Lake County to be close, possibly tilt Democrat due to reverse coattails.  CD-2 and the new CD-4 will both contain part of Salt Lake County and from what I've heard both may go Democratic.  CD-2 is where Democrat Jim Matheson is currently representing, but is running for CD_4 this time around.  He is expected to beat Republican rival and Saratoga Springs Mayor Mia Love.  It has been a nasty race just in the 3 1/2 weeks I've been in Utah.  Jim Matheson should carry CD-4 and CD-2 should remain with the Democrats.  So, I expect Utah will have 2 R and 2 D in Congress, and those two D's should help push Obama barely over the top in Salt Lake County.

lol wat. All major prognosticators have UT-02 as Safe R, and I'm not aware of any evidence that non-negligible "reverse coattails" exist.

I haven't seen a single poll for UT-02, so though you may be right, you might also be wrong, since Salt Lake City (the liberal bastion in Utah) has about half of it's area in UT-02, and half in UT-04.

I only expect Summit county to go for Obama. Maybe Salt Lake if there was a huge explosion of Hispanic voters since 2010.

There have been a lot of Hispanic and otherwise non-white voters arriving in Salt Lake County, so I'd say your prediction is fairly accurate.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Salt Lake is definitely going Romney, and Summit is 50/50 IMO.

[Pheurton Skeurto]

I expect Romney to carry every county in Utah, even that one which went to Obama by about 10%. It's going to be insane.

Yeah, basically this.

[ag]

I don't know guys, I think you are all all wrong about Grand County here.

The hispanic population has about doubled in this past decade in Grand County. Back when Bush beat Kerry here 51-44%, the hispanic population was about 5%. Now, as of 2010, it is 10%.

Of which 10%, how many are citizens? And how many will vote?

[mondale84]

Obama, easily.

[Ebowed]

I'd think Obama - although Summit is still a safer bet.

[Nichlemn]

It should go for Romney.  I expect Salt Lake County to be close, possibly tilt Democrat due to reverse coattails.  CD-2 and the new CD-4 will both contain part of Salt Lake County and from what I've heard both may go Democratic.  CD-2 is where Democrat Jim Matheson is currently representing, but is running for CD_4 this time around.  He is expected to beat Republican rival and Saratoga Springs Mayor Mia Love.  It has been a nasty race just in the 3 1/2 weeks I've been in Utah.  Jim Matheson should carry CD-4 and CD-2 should remain with the Democrats.  So, I expect Utah will have 2 R and 2 D in Congress, and those two D's should help push Obama barely over the top in Salt Lake County.

lol wat. All major prognosticators have UT-02 as Safe R, and I'm not aware of any evidence that non-negligible "reverse coattails" exist.

I haven't seen a single poll for UT-02, so though you may be right, you might also be wrong, since Salt Lake City (the liberal bastion in Utah) has about half of it's area in UT-02, and half in UT-04.

Or, instead of cherrypicking one good data point for Dems, consider that it's a 59% McCain (which Romney will surely outperform) open seat without someone called "Matheson" running in.