RCP EV map, Romney takes lead for first time
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Author Topic: RCP EV map, Romney takes lead for first time  (Read 488 times)
Cliffy
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« on: October 18, 2012, 09:29:26 PM »
I'm surprised this hasn't been posted?

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html

R 206 - Obama 201 , 131 tossups
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #1 on: October 18, 2012, 09:32:38 PM »
Considering RCP includes those ridiculous no name polls from PA and MI... as well as Gravis, but not important... I'm hardly surprised.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2 on: October 18, 2012, 09:32:52 PM »
Unfortunately for Romney, Obama is leading in the vast majority of states that they have listed as tossups.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #3 on: October 18, 2012, 09:36:28 PM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on October 18, 2012, 09:32:52 PM
Unfortunately for Romney, Obama is leading in the vast majority of states that they have listed as tossups.

And let's not forget that RCP's definition of toss-up is far more expansive than what should be considered toss-up at this point.
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RI
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« Reply #4 on: October 18, 2012, 09:41:58 PM »
I actually think the map on this site is one of the better ones out there.
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King
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« Reply #5 on: October 18, 2012, 09:44:17 PM »
It only happened because of the Rasmussen poll of NC making it barely over the 5 point range for tossup to lean.  The next poll of NC to drop out is Gravis 50-41.  A poll that shows Romney even up 6 would knock NC back to tossup and make it 201-191 Obama, which is the floor for both candidates.

Our site's polling map is much better, except for South Carolina.
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retromike22
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« Reply #6 on: October 19, 2012, 12:16:16 AM »
No way are Michigan and Pennsylvania tossups.
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Sasquatch
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« Reply #7 on: October 19, 2012, 12:26:14 AM »
RCP is laughable.

http://web.archive.org/web/20001023155619/http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Polls/polls-EC_ALWAYS.html
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wolfentoad66
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« Reply #8 on: October 19, 2012, 12:31:39 AM »
I prefer no tossup maps. Maps like this are kind of ridiculous, on what they consider toss-ups.
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Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #9 on: October 19, 2012, 12:42:46 AM »

Woah.
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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
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« Reply #10 on: October 19, 2012, 12:54:58 AM »
Quote from: Cliffy on October 18, 2012, 09:29:26 PM
I'm surprised this hasn't been posted?
No you're not, you posted it already and nobody cared.
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=162013.msg3471684#msg3471684
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