Gov. Ed Rendell/Sen. Evan Bayh (D) vs Gov. Mark Sanford/Sen. Judd Gregg (R)

[Moooooo]

Democrat (President/Vice-President)

 

Governor Ed Rendell (PA)/Senator Evan Bayh (IN)

Republican (President/Vice-President)

 

Governor Mark Sanford(SC)/Senator Judd Gregg(NH)

*Electoral Vote?
*Popular Vote?
*Maps?
*What would the focus/campaign strategy of both tickets be?

[Jake]

Rendell 280
Sanford 258

Election comes down to Rendell taking Ohio in a very close race there.  The Rendell/Bayh populism secures the midwest and NM, while Gregg gets them NH and ME.

[Moooooo]

Im gonna' be a little optimistic with my prediction, but I wouldnt say its too far-fetched.

Rendell/Bayh - 321
Sanford/Greg - 217

[Keystone Phil]

Im gonna' be a little optimistic with my prediction, but I dont think its too far-fetched.

Rendell/Bayh - 321
Sanford/Greg - 217

Rendell wouldn't take WV.

[Moooooo]

Rendell wouldn't take WV.

Most people probably thought the same thing about Dukakis.  Why do you think Rendell would lose WV?

[Alcon]

I agree with Phil. WV is now way socially conservative and is trending economically that way, too. Also, Sanford would not take Maine. Maybe ME-2, but Kerry even won that by like 6 points.

[Keystone Phil]

I agree with Phil. WV is now way socially conservative and is trending economically that way, too. Also, Sanford would not take Maine. Maybe ME-2, but Kerry even won that by like 6 points.

Exactly. I was one of those people that threw WV into Kerry's column from the start, thinking that 2004 would be decided on economics in that state. Bush actually increased his victory in the state this time. I think they'll be sticking with social issues for awhile.

[Moooooo]

How much would Rendell win PA by?  Do you think both candidates would write off PA early as a Rendell win or would there be a fierce campaign there like 2004?

[Keystone Phil]

How much would Rendell win PA by?  Do you think both candidates would write off PA early as a Rendell win or would there be a fierce campaign there like 2004?

Rendell by about 4.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Rendell wouldn't take WV.

Most people probably thought the same thing about Dukakis.  Why do you think Rendell would lose WV?

I hate to say it, but because he's Jewish.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Rendell 280
Sanford 258

Election comes down to Rendell taking Ohio in a very close race there.  The Rendell/Bayh populism secures the midwest and NM, while Gregg gets them NH and ME.

Even if Sanford/Gregg could get Maine statewide (which I doubt, people usually won't change their vote because the VP is from a neighboring state and southernors don't play well there), they would never win ME-1.

[phk]

Rendell 280
Sanford 258

Election comes down to Rendell taking Ohio in a very close race there.  The Rendell/Bayh populism secures the midwest and NM, while Gregg gets them NH and ME.

Even if Sanford/Gregg could get Maine statewide (which I doubt, people usually won't change their vote because the VP is from a neighboring state and southernors don't play well there), they would never win ME-1.

Agreed, flip ME-1.

[Alcon]

I'm afraid I have to argue for flipping Maine totally, CD-2 included. ME-2 is about as solid as Delaware; CD-1 is about as solid as Connecticut, and the state overall was barely closer than California.

Maine may have specifically liked Kerry, or disliked Bush, but I think it is a fairly solid Democratic state for now.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I'd flip Maine totally too, since the reasoning is Gregg is on the ticket, but while I can see him flipping NH people don't care if someone's from a neighboring state.

But Gregg wouldn't be VP anyway unless the Republicans win back the NH governorship by 2008.

[skybridge]

Im gonna' be a little optimistic with my prediction, but I wouldnt say its too far-fetched.

Rendell/Bayh - 321
Sanford/Greg - 217

Sorry for stating the obvious, but why wouldn't Bayh's presence help carry Indiana?

[opebo]

I can't believe anyone would expect Maine to go Republican again in our lifetimes!  In fact I think a native son is the only way NH will be doing that either.
Rendell/Bayh  - 294
Sanford/Gregg - 244

[Moooooo]

Sorry for stating the obvious, but why wouldn't Bayh's presence help carry Indiana?

From the VP slot I can't see Bayh flipping Indiana.

[True Democrat]

Rendell wins 298-240.

[No more McShame]

Sanford/Rendell

Rendell 280
Sanford 258

My map is the same as Jakes w/ all four of Maine's EV going to Rendell ( this means that somebody's math is off).  I don't see Gregg pushing Maine that much over to the Republican side even though he would make a difference in NH which is both closer and the actual home state of the VP candidate.