O'Malley vs. Thune
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 05, 2024, 05:36:12 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  O'Malley vs. Thune
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: O'Malley vs. Thune  (Read 941 times)
Suburbia
bronz4141
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,666
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: July 16, 2014, 11:52:03 AM »

In this generic matchup with two generic candidates, who would win and why? Discuss with maps.
Logged
moderatevoter
ModerateVAVoter
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,381


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: July 16, 2014, 07:49:11 PM »

Thune.
A sane Republican would beat O'Malley.
Logged
"'Oeps!' De blunders van Rick Perry Indicted"
DarthNader
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 483


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: July 16, 2014, 08:26:53 PM »

Logged
Dixie Reborn
BeyondTruthAndIdeals
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 817
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: July 16, 2014, 08:46:56 PM »



John Thune (R-SD) / Susana Martinez (R-NM) EV=304
Martin O'Malley (D-MD) / Corey Booker (D-NJ) EV=234

O'Malley is too far left to be electable. A strong Thune campaign would easily dispatch him.
Logged
Never
Never Convinced
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: July 16, 2014, 08:50:11 PM »



John Thune (R-SD) / Susana Martinez (R-NM) EV=304
Martin O'Malley (D-MD) / Corey Booker (D-NJ) EV=234

O'Malley is too far left to be electable. A strong Thune campaign would easily dispatch him.

Martinez would be helpful out West, but not to that extent. I'd give O'Malley back OR/NV and put WI and/or PA in Thune's column.

Anyhow, in this matchup, Thune would easily dispatch O'Malley under almost any realistic circumstance.
Logged
Dixie Reborn
BeyondTruthAndIdeals
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 817
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: July 16, 2014, 08:59:41 PM »



John Thune (R-SD) / Susana Martinez (R-NM) EV=304
Martin O'Malley (D-MD) / Corey Booker (D-NJ) EV=234

O'Malley is too far left to be electable. A strong Thune campaign would easily dispatch him.

Martinez would be helpful out West, but not to that extent. I'd give O'Malley back OR/NV and put WI and/or PA in Thune's column.

Anyhow, in this matchup, Thune would easily dispatch O'Malley under almost any realistic circumstance.

I guess I did overstep it in regards to Oregon, however I am convinced Thune/Martinez would win Nevada. Firstly, against O'Malley, Thune would win nearly all 2012 Romney voters, and Martinez's presence on the ballot would allow just enough women and Hispanics to bring Thune over the top. I don't see Wisconsin ever being in play for Republicans without a Wisconsinite on the ballot, and I don't see Pennsylvania ever being in play for Republicans in general.
Logged
Never
Never Convinced
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: July 16, 2014, 09:04:59 PM »



John Thune (R-SD) / Susana Martinez (R-NM) EV=304
Martin O'Malley (D-MD) / Corey Booker (D-NJ) EV=234

O'Malley is too far left to be electable. A strong Thune campaign would easily dispatch him.

Martinez would be helpful out West, but not to that extent. I'd give O'Malley back OR/NV and put WI and/or PA in Thune's column.

Anyhow, in this matchup, Thune would easily dispatch O'Malley under almost any realistic circumstance.

I guess I did overstep it in regards to Oregon, however I am convinced Thune/Martinez would win Nevada. Firstly, against O'Malley, Thune would win nearly all 2012 Romney voters, and Martinez's presence on the ballot would allow just enough women and Hispanics to bring Thune over the top. I don't see Wisconsin ever being in play for Republicans without a Wisconsinite on the ballot, and I don't see Pennsylvania ever being in play for Republicans in general.

You definitely made fair points in defense of your map. Still, I suspect that if enough women and Hispanics are voting Republican for Thune to win in a state like NV, then there might very well be enough women to tip Wisconsin and Pennsylvania in his favor. On the other hand, there are legitimate objections to Pennsylvania shifting to a Republican during a presidential election, one of which that the state is quite static. O'Malley being from the Northeast could play a role in keeping the state Atlas red as well.
Logged
Rockefeller GOP
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,936
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: July 16, 2014, 09:40:42 PM »

Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: July 17, 2014, 03:04:02 PM »

Republicans can be trusted more than Democrats to turn out for uninspiring/"meh" candidates, so Thune would probably win.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: July 17, 2014, 03:46:33 PM »

Thune could probably win this election. I can't really think there's anything special or appealing about O'Malley, I mean, he a standard liberal governor of a blue (non-atlas) state. Here's what I think would happen:



285-253 Thune
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: July 22, 2014, 06:00:12 PM »

Thune by a mile
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.242 seconds with 11 queries.