What % of the vote will Santorum get in the Iowa Caucuses?
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  What % of the vote will Santorum get in the Iowa Caucuses?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Well?
#1
<1%		  
#2
1-4%		  
#3
5-8%		  
#4
9-13%		  
#5
14-18%		  
#6
19-24.6%		  
#7
>24.6%		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 32

Author Topic: What % of the vote will Santorum get in the Iowa Caucuses?  (Read 962 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« on: December 14, 2014, 06:23:32 PM »
Santorum got 24.6% of the vote in the 2012 Iowa Caucuses. How will he fare in 2016?
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #1 on: December 14, 2014, 06:31:47 PM »
He will be a much weaker candidate this time, less than 10%
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BaconBacon96
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« Reply #2 on: December 14, 2014, 06:35:19 PM »
It really depends on how many social conservatives run. Assuming that most of them do, Santorum most likely won't be able to surpass 10%.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #3 on: December 14, 2014, 07:31:16 PM »
Will he even make it to Iowa? I'm assuming he probably will, since he didn't poll higher than 5% until a month before the caucus in 2012. He has nothing to lose by hoping history will repeat itself.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #4 on: December 14, 2014, 07:32:48 PM »
Drops out after Ames
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #5 on: December 14, 2014, 08:12:24 PM »
Somewhere around 20%, which is good for a solid second, this time around (unless Huckabee runs, in which case shave 10-12% off his total, and drop him to somewhere around fifth)
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #6 on: December 15, 2014, 01:07:22 AM »
I agree that he may drop out before IA. His performance in IA in 2012 was a fluke of being the last conservative standing, but given a choice they originally preferred Perry, Gingrinch, Cain. In 2016 they will have plenty of choices. And if Huckabee gets in, Santorum shouldn't even bother putting on the sweater vest.
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Frodo
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« Reply #7 on: December 15, 2014, 01:21:18 AM »
I hope he gets the presidential bug out of his system by 2016 for good.  If he really wants to get back into public service, he could run for his old Senate seat in 2018. 
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #8 on: December 15, 2014, 01:48:51 AM »
Quote from: Frodo on December 15, 2014, 01:21:18 AM
I hope he gets the presidential bug out of his system by 2016 for good.  If he really wants to get back into public service, he could run for his old Senate seat in 2018. 
And lose again. Casey's not so unpopular that he's going to lose to Santorum.
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ShadowRocket
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« Reply #9 on: December 15, 2014, 03:36:38 PM »
My guess is that he'll still finish in the top three. I don't think Huckabee runs, so I think he can still carve out a niche for himself as the social conservative in the race. Granted, he'll have some overlap with Cruz and others.
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« Reply #10 on: December 15, 2014, 10:46:41 PM »
Around 19-24. He's still popular.  He can cause Cruz problems.
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