2016 tipping point states
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 10, 2024, 12:57:29 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  2016 tipping point states 		« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: 2016 tipping point states  (Read 1587 times)
Devils30
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,090
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: January 31, 2015, 01:56:56 AM »
Colorado was in 2012 and 2008. I think with Clinton vs the GOP it would be like this:

Jeb: Virginia
Walker: Florida
Christie: Wisconsin
Huckabee: Virginia
Paul: Florida
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,325
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: January 31, 2015, 02:47:55 AM »
I'm guessing that if it's a close race, it'll be Colorado or Virginia. Possibly Iowa.
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,895
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: January 31, 2015, 10:46:05 AM »
Quote from: Polls_PuffPass on January 31, 2015, 03:08:21 AM
Does anyone think it can be Pennsylvania if it trended Republican?

Pennsylvania could be if one or more of the (Bill) Clinton-but-not Obama states goes strongly toward Hillary Clinton. Under some blowout conditions Minnesota could be.

Tipping-point states from 2000 to 2012:

2000 Florida
2004 Ohio
2008 Iowa
2012 Colorado

Pennsylvania was close to being the  tipping-point state in 2012.
Logged
Devils30
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,090
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: January 31, 2015, 12:45:25 PM »
I think Hillary is a better fit than Obama for PA though. I expect a 2-3% trend leftward there.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,280
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: January 31, 2015, 04:36:43 PM »
2000 Florida
2004 Ohio
2008 Colorado
2012 Virginia
2016 Ohio
Logged
Skill and Chance
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,840
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: January 31, 2015, 04:51:11 PM »
Virginia with Jeb, Rubio, or Christie, Florida for all others.
Logged
Likely Voter
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,344


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: January 31, 2015, 05:25:19 PM »
VA, CO, or IA.
Logged
TDAS04
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,650
Bhutan


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: January 31, 2015, 10:03:27 PM »
Ohio, Virginia, or Colorado
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,514
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: January 31, 2015, 10:09:57 PM »
North Carolina
Logged
Skill and Chance
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,840
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: January 31, 2015, 11:03:49 PM »

That's bold.  Maybe this with Walker/Rubio?
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.215 seconds with 13 queries.