CNN: Massive drop for Bush, while Huckabee and Walker gain
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  CNN: Massive drop for Bush, while Huckabee and Walker gain
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Author Topic: CNN: Massive drop for Bush, while Huckabee and Walker gain  (Read 2228 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: February 18, 2015, 12:31:08 PM »

16% Huckabee (+10%)
14% Bush (-9%)
11% Walker (+7%)
10% Paul (+4%)
  8% Carson (+1%)
  7% Christie (-6%)

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61% Clinton
14% Biden
10% Warren

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The CNN/ORC International poll was conducted February 12-15, 2015, and interviewed 1,027 adult Americans, including 436 Republicans and independents who describe themselves as Republican, and 475 Democrats and independents who describe themselves as Democrats. Results for all adults have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3 points. For results among Republicans or Democrats, it is 4.5 points.

http://us.cnn.com/2015/02/18/politics/poll-2016-race-hillary-clinton-jeb-bush/index.html
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King
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« Reply #1 on: February 18, 2015, 01:28:28 PM »

Walker's one signed check from the Kochs away from the nomination.
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Türkisblau
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« Reply #2 on: February 18, 2015, 01:37:03 PM »

Looks like Bush's honeymoon phase is over.
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Pouring Rain and Blairing Music
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #3 on: February 18, 2015, 01:57:27 PM »

#StopIncludingWarren

Does anyone have the full results? I'd like to see how the other Democrats that may run are doing (are they out of the margin of error?)
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: February 18, 2015, 01:57:42 PM »

#Hillaryunder70
#2008redux

Bush/Christie's fall + Walker rising isn't surprising, but why in the world would Huckabee have gained so much? Are Republican primary voters that hungry for an anti-Beyonce crusader?
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #5 on: February 18, 2015, 06:05:51 PM »

Full results are here:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2015/CNN_2016D_021815.pdf

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2015/CNN_2016R_021815.pdf

Dems

Clinton 60%
Biden 15%
Warren 12%
Sanders 3%
Webb 2%
O'Malley 1%

GOP

Huckabee 17%
Bush 12%
Paul 11%
Walker 11%
Carson 9%
Christie 7%
Rubio 6%
Cruz 3%
Kasich 2%
Perry 2%
Santorum 2%
Fiorina 1%
Graham 1%
Jindal 1%

Huckabee being in the lead seems kind of sketchy.  If he's leading in the national polls, then why isn't he leading in more state polls?  Bush and Walker seem to be leading almost all of the recent state polls.
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Frodo
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« Reply #6 on: February 18, 2015, 08:44:24 PM »

Republicans...   Predictable as always.  It doesn't mean he isn't ultimately going to get the nomination as the last man standing, any more than John McCain and Mitt Romney did in 2008 and 2012.  The GOP electorate is going to try everyone else (again) until they finally settle on Jeb Bush.  
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #7 on: February 19, 2015, 12:27:01 AM »

On the GOP side, who leads among...?

Suburbanites: Bush
men: Huckabee
women: Huckabee
over 50 years old: Walker
under $50k income: Huckabee
over $50k income: Bush
attended college: Walker
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #8 on: February 19, 2015, 12:45:37 AM »


If that's where his strength is, Walker is done once they find out the truth.

#MuhCollegeDropout

(In all seriousness, I would expect the opposite to happen as the other groups become more likely to embrace him.)
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #9 on: February 19, 2015, 12:52:56 AM »


If that's where his strength is, Walker is done once they find out the truth.

#MuhCollegeDropout

(In all seriousness, I would expect the opposite to happen as the other groups become more likely to embrace him.)

I actually think this is partially just a function of Walker having lower name recognition than the other candidates.  Only ~50% of voters even know who he is, and those people who know who he is are likely to be more politically informed, and so more likely to have attended college.  Whereas Bush and Huckabee have higher name recognition, and so more support from those who are less politically engaged.
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SPC
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« Reply #10 on: February 19, 2015, 12:32:35 PM »

Not sure where else to posit this question, but has anyone noticed that Biden seems to have had a mini-surge as of late? The last three polls have all had him at 15% or higher, whereas he had previously been stuck in the ~10% range.
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politicus
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« Reply #11 on: February 23, 2015, 02:19:15 PM »

Huckabee doing better with under 50s than 65+ is surprising.
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #12 on: February 23, 2015, 02:24:14 PM »

Not sure where else to posit this question, but has anyone noticed that Biden seems to have had a mini-surge as of late? The last three polls have all had him at 15% or higher, whereas he had previously been stuck in the ~10% range.

Stephaniecarterbackrub Effect?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #13 on: February 23, 2015, 05:29:08 PM »

As it appears, Jeb wasn't the inevitable one against Hilary, and the G O P voters are learning about the truth.

As the G O P voters are seeing it, he is endorsing the idea about giving illegals amnesty, and his poor performance against Hilary.

But, I like to seen a non polarizing G O Per, Huck get the nomination, instead.
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Xing
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« Reply #14 on: February 24, 2015, 02:08:37 AM »

The Huckster!? That's a bit fishy, CNN.

In the end, few people will care about Walker's non-existent college degree. I think whoever is attacking Walker will look elsewhere for ammo.
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