538: Debate Winners and Losers (according to the polls)
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  538: Debate Winners and Losers (according to the polls)
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Author Topic: 538: Debate Winners and Losers (according to the polls)  (Read 582 times)
Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« on: August 13, 2015, 10:31:15 AM »

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-post-debate-losers-walker-and-winners-fiorina/

Winners: Fiorina, Rubio, Carson, Cruz.  Losers: Walker, Trump, Bush.

Fiorina: +6.0
Rubio: +2.4
Carson: +2.4
Cruz: +1.3
Paul: +0.4
Graham: +0.1
Kasich: +0.0
Chrisite: -0.1
Pataki: -0.3
Santorum: -0.6
Perry: -0.9
Huckabee: -1.1
Jindal: -1.1
Bush: -2.0
Trump: -2.3
Walker: -4.6
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Bull Moose Base
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« Reply #1 on: August 13, 2015, 11:23:43 AM »

Clearly the winning strategy is to try to drop as low as you can in the polls so as to get demoted to the kids table debate where you stand out against the woeful competition. The only problem is you then surge into the more competitive grown-up debate and have to do it all over again. It's something of a paradox. And the only one who hasn't figured out this strategy yet is Trump. Talk about a loser (because he's a winner).
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