2016; Dream On
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  2016; Dream On
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NewYorkExpress
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« on: September 12, 2015, 06:42:22 PM »

For Both Parties it was a difficult journey to Election Day. On the Republican side, a late November slide by Donald Trump, allowed Dr. Ben Carson to seize Iowa, and ride  a wave of momentum to the nomination...knocking out the last of his opposition in Rand Paul and Marco Rubio on March 15, with victories in Ohio, Illinois and Missouri. Carson would select Rubio as his running mate, citing his strong performance on the trail, and creating an all-minority GOP ticket. 

On the Democrats side, the race showed shades of 2000, as Hillary Clinton narrowly beat back challenges from Bernie Sanders in both Iowa and New Hampshire, before winning in wider margins in Nevada and South Carolina, forcing Sanders from the race. Clinton tapped Former Washington Governor Gary Locke (last seen as Ambassador to China) as her running mate, raising eyebrows amongst the chattering class.

While the campaign was largely overshadowed by the refugee crisis in Europe, Carson performed well in the first and second debates (though he didn't "win" the second.) Rubio "won" the VP debate, and while Hillary dominated the third debate, many thought it was too little too late.

Most analysts heading into the election, still predicted Democrats to gain a net of 1-2 seats in the Senate, and about 10 seats in the House, despite losing the White House by a narrow margin. 


Note; House Races will be seats that change partisan hands only


Kentucky-President

Carson/Rubio (R) 52.55%
Clinton/Locke (D) 44.67%
Write-in/Other 2.78%

Senate (Paul retiring)

Former RNC Chairman Mike Duncan (R) 48.89%
State Representative Rocky Adkins (D) 48.06%
Write-in/Other 3.05%

Vermont

Clinton/Locke (D) 65.77%
Carson/Rubio (R) 32.11%
Write-in/Other 2.12%

Senate

Pat Leahy (incumbent, D) 71.02%
Former Burlington City Councilman Kevin Curley (R) 24.66%
Write-in/Other 4.32%
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Enderman
Jack Enderman
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« Reply #1 on: September 13, 2015, 12:57:17 PM »

NYE is Back! Cheesy
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #2 on: September 14, 2015, 02:21:51 PM »

Maine

President

Hillary Clinton/Gary Locke (D) 55.78% (Wins both Congressional Districts)
Ben Carson/Marco Rubio (R) 42.96%
Write-in/Other 1.26%

2nd Congressional District D+1

Former State Senator Emily Cain (D) 51.68%
Incumbent Bruce Poliquin (R) 47.77%
Write-in/Other 0.55%

Vermont-Governor (Shumlin retiring)

State Representative Shap Smith (D) 55.55%
Lieutenant Governor Phil Scott (R) 43.76%
Write-in/Other 0.69%
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #3 on: September 15, 2015, 02:29:00 PM »
« Edited: September 15, 2015, 02:41:30 PM by NewYorkExpress »

West Virginia

President

Ben Carson/Marco Rubio (R) 54.66%
Hillary Clinton/Gary Locke (D) 40.09%
Write-in/Other 5.25%

Governor (Tomblin term-limited) GOP Gain

State Delegate Erikka Storch (R) 52%
State Delegate Doug Reynolds (D) 47.63%
Write-in/Other 0.37%

South Carolina

Ben Carson/Marco Rubio (R) 57.61%
Hillary Clinton/Gary Locke (D) 40.02%
Write-in/Other 2.27%

Senate

Incumbent Tim Scott (R) 63.65%
Charleston County Councilman Henry Darby (D) 35.78%
Write-in/Other 0.57%

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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #4 on: September 17, 2015, 08:39:37 PM »

Indiana

President

Ben Carson/Marco Rubio (R) 51.77%
Hillary Clinton/Gary Locke (D) 47.01%
Write-in/Other 1.22%

Governor

Incumbent Mike Pence (R) 50.02%
Former State Representative John Gregg (D) 48.06%
Write-in/Other 1.98%

Senate (Coats retiring)

Congressman Todd Young (R) 53.72%
Former Congressman Baron Hill (D) 45.87%
Write-in/Other 0.41%

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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #5 on: September 19, 2015, 03:29:58 PM »
« Edited: September 21, 2015, 10:02:31 PM by NewYorkExpress »

Rhode Island

President

Hillary Clinton/Gary Locke (D) 68.66%
Ben Carson/Marco Rubio (R) 26.89%
Write-in/Other 4.45%

New Hampshire

President

Hillary Clinton/Gary Locke (D) 48.79%
Ben Carson/Marco Rubio (R) 46.72%
Write-in/Other 4.49%

Governor (Hassan retiring)

Former Congresswoman Carol Shea Porter (D) 50.03%
Executive Councilman Chris Sununu (R) 47.71%
Write-in/Other 2.26%

Senate D Gain

Governor Maggie Hassan (D) 48.92%
Incumbent Kelly Ayotte (R) 47.77%
Write-in/Other 3.31%

1st Congressional District (D+2)

Former Governor John Lynch (D) 53%
Incumbent Frank Giunta (R) 45.08%
Write-in/Other 2.92%
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #6 on: September 21, 2015, 10:09:36 PM »

Massachusetts

President

Hillary Clinton/Gary Locke (D) 60.02%
Ben Carson/Marco Rubio (R) 37.55%
Write-in/Other 2.33%

Delaware

President

Hillary Clinton/Gary Locke (R) 61.77%
Ben Carson/Marco Rubio (D) 37.84%
Write-in/Other 0.49%

Governor (Markell term-limited)

Congressman John Carney (D) 58.09%
State Assemblyman David Wilson (R) 40.55%
Write-in/Other 1.36%

Georgia

Ben Carson/Marco Rubio (R) 51.27%
Hillary Clinton/Gary Locke (D) 47.54%
Write-in/Other 1.19%

Senate (Isakson retiring)

Former Congressman Jack Kingston (R) 52.09%
Atlanta City Councilman H. Lamar Willis (D) 46.55%
Write-in/Other 1.36%

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MyRescueKittehRocks
JohanusCalvinusLibertas
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« Reply #7 on: September 22, 2015, 07:57:03 PM »

Indiana

President

Ben Carson/Marco Rubio (R) 51.77%
Hillary Clinton/Gary Locke (D) 47.01%
Write-in/Other 1.22%

Governor

Incumbent Mike Pence (R) 50.02%
Former State Representative John Gregg (D) 48.06%
Write-in/Other 1.98%

Senate (Coats retiring)

Congressman Todd Young (R) 53.72%
Former Congressman Baron Hill (D) 45.87%
Write-in/Other 0.41%



Stutzman is the likely nominee for this seat. He's the grassroots and small business favorite. Young will be tough but Stutzman is the consensus favorite to win this race. An upset by Holcomb or Young is not likely.

Indiana aside, good job and keep it up.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #8 on: October 01, 2015, 01:06:22 PM »
« Edited: October 04, 2015, 12:44:46 PM by NewYorkExpress »

Alabama

President

Ben Carson/Marco Rubio (R) 58.88%
Hillary Clinton/Gary Locke (D) 40.04%
Write-in/Other 1.08%

Senate

Incumbent Richard Shelby (R) 59%
Tuscaloosa Mayor Maddox (D) 39.67%
Write-in/Other 1.33%

New Jersey

Hillary Clinton/Gary Locke (D) 52.79%
Ben Carson/Marco Rubio (R) 45.08%
Write-in/Other 2.13%
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #9 on: October 04, 2015, 01:01:32 PM »

Connecticut

President

Hillary Clinton/Gary Locke (D) 54.78%
Ben Carson/Marco Rubio (R) 43.01%
Write-in/Other 2.21%

Senate

Incumbent Richard Blumenthal (D) 58.09%
Economist Lawrence Kudlow (R) 40.97%
Write-in/Other 0.94%
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #10 on: October 18, 2015, 05:17:09 PM »

Iowa

President


Ben Carson/Marco Rubio (R) 48.77%
Hillary Clinton/Gary Locke (D) 48.44%
Write-in/Other 2.79%


Senate

Incumbent Chuck Grassley (R) 52.76%
Former Governor Chet Culver (D) 47%
Write-in/Other 0.24%

1st Congressional District (D+3)

Former State Representative Pat Murphy (D) 49.07%
Incumbent Rod Blum (R) 48.77%
Write-in/Other 2.16%


Tennessee

Ben Carson/Marco Rubio (R) 57.72%
Hillary Clinton/Gary Locke (D) 42.01%
Write-in/Other 0.27%

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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #11 on: October 21, 2015, 04:15:29 AM »

Interesting format.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #12 on: February 28, 2016, 08:46:15 PM »
« Edited: February 29, 2016, 01:47:35 PM by NewYorkExpress »

New York

President


Hillary Clinton/Gary Locke (D) 63%
Ben Carson/Marco Rubio (R) 35.15%
Write-in/Other 1.85% %

Senate


Incumbent Chuck Schumer (D) 71%
Attorney Wendy Long (R) 28.2%
Write-in/Other 0.8%

1st Congressional District (D+4)


Anna Throne-Holst (D) 50%
Lee Zeldin (R) 49.07%
Write-in/Other 0.93%

3rd Congressional District (R+1)

State Senator Jack Martins (R) 48%
Suffolk County Legislator Steven Stern (D) 46%
Write-in/Other 6%

19th Congressional District (D+5)


Former State Senator Terry Gipson (D) 51%
Former State Assemblyman John Faso (R) 47%
Write-in/Other 2%

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Higgs
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« Reply #13 on: February 29, 2016, 07:56:41 AM »

New Jersey results twice?
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #14 on: February 29, 2016, 01:28:51 PM »


whoops... I should have read that more clearly... the first results stand here

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