Guess post-debate polling numbers.
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Author Topic: Guess post-debate polling numbers.  (Read 914 times)
Senator Cris
Cris
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« on: January 15, 2016, 11:20:54 AM »
Well?
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Higgs
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« Reply #1 on: January 15, 2016, 11:48:16 AM »
No real change
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2 on: January 15, 2016, 01:49:06 PM »
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Ljube
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« Reply #3 on: January 15, 2016, 04:48:19 PM »
TRUMP UP.

Cruz down.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #4 on: January 15, 2016, 04:57:00 PM »
Honestly, I think TRUMP will go up in Iowa.
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Orthogonian Society Treasurer
CommanderClash
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« Reply #5 on: January 15, 2016, 05:15:29 PM »
Up: Trump, Christie
Down: Cruz, Rubio
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #6 on: January 15, 2016, 06:21:37 PM »
Cruz up, no change for Trump.
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #7 on: January 15, 2016, 06:25:55 PM »
I think that Ted and Donald will both go up
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Mike Thick
tedbessell
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« Reply #8 on: January 15, 2016, 06:30:52 PM »
Trump and Cruz will probably go up, but it is possible that Cruz could go down if people remember the New York Values Moment. Carson's decline will likely continue relatively unabated. Bush and Kasich are already quite low but could conceivably go down a bit further. Rubio could go down a bit, but major change is unlikely.
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Cruzcrew
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« Reply #9 on: January 15, 2016, 07:13:06 PM »
Trump and Cruz go up
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Penelope
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« Reply #10 on: January 15, 2016, 07:15:37 PM »
Trump up, Cruz down, everyone else stagnant, except for maybe Christie.
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EliteLX
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« Reply #11 on: January 15, 2016, 07:31:47 PM »
« Edited: January 15, 2016, 07:36:19 PM by EliteLX »
Trump steady, maybe ~1-4% boost at absolute max.

Ted boost for those who were stuck between Ted & Don. If you like Donald Trump's debate style, aka "SCOREBOARD!", then you were pleased. Other wise you definitely were drawn to Ted.

Christie boost by a small margin.

Rubio steady, possible ~2% gain.

Jeb stagnant, may plummet.

RIP Rand.

Kasich plummets completely.

Carson drops strong.
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Averroës Nix
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« Reply #12 on: January 15, 2016, 09:46:34 PM »
« Edited: January 16, 2016, 01:02:03 PM by Averroës »
Trump and Cruz steady, Christie and Bush up slightly, Rubio down.

e: I don't think the debate will have much to do with it, but a Cruz meltdown is now looking most likely. No idea who benefits, if anyone, other than Trump.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #13 on: January 15, 2016, 09:58:08 PM »
Trump and Cruz both up

Rubio and Christie both down

Everyone else will stay where they are.

Cruz actually is a skilled debater and a good orator.  

Trump plays the media and crowds like a fiddle and knows exactly what he's doing.

Rubio is not good at anything other than reciting planned speeches.    

Christie just makes untrue crap up.  
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #14 on: January 15, 2016, 11:55:51 PM »
Cruz slightly up, Trump up, Christie up

Rubio down
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #15 on: January 16, 2016, 03:15:57 AM »
Trump, Cruz, and Rubio gain. Others become even more irrelevant.
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #16 on: January 16, 2016, 03:17:50 AM »
Cruz will almost certainly increase his numbers nationally and in the early states.
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Coolface Sock #42069
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« Reply #17 on: January 16, 2016, 12:04:54 PM »
Quote from: Nyvin on January 15, 2016, 09:58:08 PM
Trump and Cruz both up

Rubio and Christie both down

Everyone else will stay where they are.

Cruz actually is a skilled debater and a good orator.  

Trump plays the media and crowds like a fiddle and knows exactly what he's doing.

Rubio is not good at anything other than reciting planned speeches.    

Christie just makes untrue crap up.  
I was just saying this yesterday as well. Also, as an Illinoisan, the way he "fixed" the state's budget by not making pension fund contributions is more than a little concerning to me. That's what got us into the mess we're in.

Anyway, Cruz will see a small bounce, possibly enough to solidify a 7-8% lead in Iowa. By Feb. 1 the establishment may well have all their chips on Cruz as the only way to stop Trump.

Trump didn't really do much to raise his numbers or hurt himself. Nobody else really did, either.
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