Is there a way to track new voter/party registrations in key primary states?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 10, 2024, 12:51:58 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  Is there a way to track new voter/party registrations in key primary states?
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2]
Author Topic: Is there a way to track new voter/party registrations in key primary states?  (Read 1924 times)
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: February 17, 2016, 12:00:48 PM »

SC update: Dem absentee applications up to 62.7% of 2008. GOP absentee applications up to 150.4% of 2012.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,574
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: February 17, 2016, 12:02:29 PM »

SC update: Dem absentee applications up to 62.7% of 2008. GOP absentee applications up to 150.4% of 2012.

Holy Trump!
Logged
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: February 17, 2016, 12:20:32 PM »

Here's a map of the % change in GOP absentee applications from 2012. Big increases along the coast, near Columbia, and in the Charlotte suburbs.

Logged
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #28 on: February 18, 2016, 12:56:55 PM »

SC update: Dem absentee applications up to 62.7% of 2008. GOP absentee applications up to 150.4% of 2012.

Up to 173% now. We could very well see twice as many GOP absentees as 2012.
Logged
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #29 on: February 19, 2016, 11:16:41 AM »

We're up to 61,032 GOP absentee applications. That's over 10% of 2012's total vote in the GOP primary, 210.5% of 2012's absentee ballots cast, and 194.5% of 2012's absentee ballot applications.
Logged
OkThen
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 273


Political Matrix
E: -2.32, S: 0.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #30 on: February 19, 2016, 11:25:00 AM »

Here's a map of the % change in GOP absentee applications from 2012. Big increases along the coast, near Columbia, and in the Charlotte suburbs.



Which is likely a good sign for Trump. Seems to be lower upstate which where Cruz should do well.
Logged
Mehmentum
Icefire9
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,606
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #31 on: February 19, 2016, 11:31:37 AM »

Here's a map of the % change in GOP absentee applications from 2012. Big increases along the coast, near Columbia, and in the Charlotte suburbs.



Which is likely a good sign for Trump. Seems to be lower upstate which where Cruz should do well.
High registration counties tend to be counties where Romney did well in 2012.  Good news for Rubio?
Logged
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #32 on: February 19, 2016, 11:45:39 AM »
« Edited: February 19, 2016, 11:54:39 AM by realisticidealist »

Here's a map of the % change in GOP absentee applications from 2012. Big increases along the coast, near Columbia, and in the Charlotte suburbs.



Which is likely a good sign for Trump. Seems to be lower upstate which where Cruz should do well.
High registration counties tend to be counties where Romney did well in 2012.  Good news for Rubio?

There hasn't been much polling by CD, but if you believe this poll, the coast is Trump's strongest area. In the past, though, places like Beaufort County have been strongly pro-Romney areas, but pro-Romney areas don't always line up with pro-Rubio areas (see SE New Hampshire, for example).

EDIT: We're also seeing large increases in Berkeley, York, and Dorchester, which were among Santorum's best counties last time around. That could bode well for Cruz (or Trump; Emerson has 2012 Santorum supporters breaking evenly between them).
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,066
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #33 on: February 27, 2016, 08:01:43 AM »

*bump*

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/02/super-tuesday-turnout-record-219873

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,066
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #34 on: March 14, 2016, 09:07:17 PM »

*bump*

The Ohio Secretary of State has the following absentee vote numbers in Ohio:

https://twitter.com/JonHusted/status/709519028268695552
https://twitter.com/JonHusted/status/709519319890313219
https://twitter.com/JonHusted/status/709519718277890048

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
Logged
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,092
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #35 on: March 14, 2016, 09:44:56 PM »

Depends on what exactly you're looking for. Georgia updates totals each month but doesn't retain previous months online, so you have to snag them while they're available for that month. Here are the current breakdowns (XLS) by county and by race.

There is also a version that breaks it down by county, race and age group, and one that shows it by race & gender for congressional, state House/Senate, judicial and county precincts.

Broadly speaking, the following info is available:

GA Active RVs on 11/4/2014: 5,168,664
GA Active RVs on 3/9/2016: 4,703,037

They don't have the turnout by demographics (age, race, county) for the 2016 primary available yet, but when they are, then they'll be here.
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,066
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #36 on: March 24, 2016, 12:28:14 AM »

*bump*

http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/new-york-sees-unprecedented-voter-registration-surge-article-1.2573876

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,956
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #37 on: March 24, 2016, 01:20:04 AM »


NY is a closed caucus - But those people are not allowing Independents to register as Democrats now. It is really bad - If we had that, NY was honestly gonna be closer.

So now people are taking the next best option - Go & register new voters & college kids - There's still around 2 odd days left for new voters!

People are going to colleges & registering people n stuff - This was till March 20th - 41K new people - We are adding a lot more  - I think we will get to close to a 100K by 25th as the pace has picked up.

Will help in decreasing Clinton's margin!
Logged
Pages: 1 [2]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.231 seconds with 13 queries.