An experiment

[‼realJohnEwards‼]

The title and question are self-explanatory. Please view the results before voting, and remember that you can change your vote at any time. Remember that this is about odds, not the more likely candidate, so if you think Clinton has an 80% chance of winning, but she has 90% of the vote, you would pick Trump.

[Gustaf]

So, by lower odds you technically mean higher odds right?

[‼realJohnEwards‼]

So, by lower odds you technically mean higher odds right?

I should have been more clear about this, but the idea is to vote for the candidate whose odds are higher than their current % of the vote.

[Figueira]

Trump was at zero when I voted, so I voted Trump.

Technically I should now proceed to switch my vote between Trump and Clinton constantly until someone else votes, but I don't feel like doing that.

[Gustaf]

So, by lower odds you technically mean higher odds right?

I should have been more clear about this, but the idea is to vote for the candidate whose odds are higher than their current % of the vote.

I mean technically odds are the multiple on your bet that you get back from a bookie. For example, you might get 2 to 1 odds for betting on a Clinton win and 3 to 1 odds for a Trump win, etc. Since the odds compensate for probability they're inverse to probability - something with a low probability of happening will have high odds.

A lot of people use odds to mean probabilities these days though so I was mostly trolling.

[ursulahx]

Sorry, I'm not clear on this. Are you asking whose chances are currently overrated (on sites like PredictIt, 538, etc) or whose chances are currently underrated? Because I think Trump's chances, despite recent data, are overrated - but I'm not clear if that means I have to vote for Trump in this poll.

[‼realJohnEwards‼]

Sorry, I'm not clear on this. Are you asking whose chances are currently overrated (on sites like PredictIt, 538, etc) or whose chances are currently underrated? Because I think Trump's chances, despite recent data, are overrated - but I'm not clear if that means I have to vote for Trump in this poll.

I mean, in this poll, at the moment you vote. So if there are 10 votes for Clinton and 10 votes for Trump, you'll vote for whoever you think has a better chance.

[ursulahx]

I mean, in this poll, at the moment you vote. So if there are 10 votes for Clinton and 10 votes for Trump, you'll vote for whoever you think has a better chance.

Oh, OK, I got it. My vote for Clinton stands, then.