Predict the outcome in these selected counties
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  Predict the outcome in these selected counties
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Author Topic: Predict the outcome in these selected counties  (Read 492 times)
BaldEagle1991
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« on: September 09, 2016, 09:57:05 PM »

Predict the outcome of these selected counties:

Harris County, TX
Douglas County, NE
Orange County, CA
Bexar County, TX
Orange County, FL
Clark County, NV
Salt Lake County, UT
Waukesha County, WI
Manitowoc County, WI
Wayne County, MI
Duval County, FL
Fulton County, GA
Maricopa County, AZ
Prince George's County, MD

I'll try and give my predictions later...
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #1 on: September 09, 2016, 10:22:44 PM »

Orange, FL: 57/35 Clinton (Puerto Rican presence)

Don't forget the Disney/Universal/SeaWorld people. Large LGBT employee base at the Orlando theme parks.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #2 on: September 09, 2016, 10:38:46 PM »

Harris, TX: 51/46 Clinton
Douglas, NE: 50/47 Clinton
Orange, CA: 48/47 Clinton
Bexar, TX: 54/43 Clinton
Orange, FL: 60/37 Clinton
Clark, NV: 53/43 Clinton
Salt Lake, UT: 48/42 Clinton
Waukesha, WI: 61/36 Trump (I think people are coming around here)
Manitowoc, WI: 49/48 Trump
Wayne, MI: 73/24 Clinton
Duval, FL: 50/48 Trump
Fulton, GA: 64/33 Clinton
Maricopa, AZ: 51/46 Trump
Prince George's, MD: 90/8 Clinton
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xingkerui
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« Reply #3 on: September 09, 2016, 11:09:51 PM »

Harris, TX: 50/44 Clinton
Douglas, NE: 51/45 Clinton
Orange, CA: 49/45 Clinton
Bexar, TX: 52/44 Clinton
Orange, FL: 61/36 Clinton
Clark, NV: 57/39 Clinton
Salt Lake, UT: 46/29/21 Clinton
Waukesha, WI: 59/37 Trump
Manitowoc, WI: 50/47 Trump
Wayne, MI: 71/24 Clinton
Duval, FL: 49/48 Trump
Fulton, GA: 66/32 Clinton
Maricopa, AZ: 49/46 Trump
Prince George's, MD: 88/9 Clinton
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #4 on: September 09, 2016, 11:10:18 PM »
« Edited: September 09, 2016, 11:12:07 PM by BaldEagle1991 »

Harris, TX: 50/49 Clinton
Douglas, NE: 51/49 Clinton
Orange, CA: 49/49 Trump
Bexar, TX: 52/47 Clinton
Orange, FL: 61/39 Clinton
Clark, NV: 52/44 Clinton
Salt Lake, UT: 49/49 Clinton
Waukesha, WI: 60/38 Trump
Manitowoc, WI: 50/48 Trump
Wayne, MI: 78/22 Clinton
Duval, FL: 51/49 Trump
Fulton, GA: 62/37 Clinton
Maricopa, AZ: 52/46 Trump
Prince George's, MD: 95/5 Clinton

BTW, Manitowoc was picked cause of Making A Murderer.  
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Ronnie
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« Reply #5 on: September 09, 2016, 11:48:49 PM »

Xingkerui pretty much hit the nail on the head, but I think Hillary will edge it out in Duval, FL.
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #6 on: September 10, 2016, 07:34:30 AM »

Xingkerui pretty much hit the nail on the head, but I think Hillary will edge it out in Duval, FL.

Why? I think Jacksonville might have the slight edge being a military city.

Plus why is everyone predicting Orange, CA is going to be for Clinton?
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #7 on: September 10, 2016, 09:12:16 PM »


As Harris County native, a 44% for Trump is unlikely. He likely won't win it but he won't be THAT LOW.
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Senator Spark
Spark498
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« Reply #8 on: September 10, 2016, 09:24:25 PM »

Harris County, TX - Clinton 51/48
Douglas County, NE- Clinton 52/47
Orange County, CA- Clinton 47/45
Bexar County, TX- Clinton 53/46
Orange County, FL - Clinton 63/37
Clark County, NV - Clinton 51/47
Salt Lake County, UT - Clinton 47/39/14
Waukesha County, WI - Trump 65/35
Manitowoc County, WI - Trump 52/46
Wayne County, MI - Clinton 72/28
Duval County, FL - Trump 51/47
Fulton County, GA - Clinton 65/34
Maricopa County, AZ - Trump 53/44
Prince George's County, MD - Clinton 92/8
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xingkerui
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« Reply #9 on: September 10, 2016, 10:04:49 PM »


As Harris County native, a 44% for Trump is unlikely. He likely won't win it but he won't be THAT LOW.

I was assuming there'd be a decent amount of third party voting, but I guess you could bump it up to 51-45/46.
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #10 on: September 11, 2016, 08:28:54 AM »


As Harris County native, a 44% for Trump is unlikely. He likely won't win it but he won't be THAT LOW.

I was assuming there'd be a decent amount of third party voting, but I guess you could bump it up to 51-45/46.

I'd there might be some slight Johnson support here. It won't be much since most of the Whites voting in Harris are Evangelical.
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