PA-08: Brian Fitzpatrick leading in his internal

[Heisenberg]

The poll shows him leading Santarsiero 50-38 percent with 12 percent undecided, even though Clinton leads 42-37.
This is a place where Trump needs to do well to win Pennsylvania, if he struggles here he'd have to make it up by running up YUGE margins in blue collar rural areas outside the Phillyburbs. It also shows that ticket splitting will likely be seen in areas like this. Brian also probably benefits from being the brother of the popular incumbent, and it says that many signs simply say "Fitzpatrick for Congress" without his first name.

http://www.mcall.com/news/nationworld/pennsylvania/capitol-ideas/mc-fitzpatrick-with-some-good-news-for-clinton-in-the-8th-district-20160916-story.html

[windjammer]

This is the kind of district that I expect Clinton winning by more than 10 points in the end, I think the democrat will win in the end.

[smoltchanov]

This is the kind of district that I expect Clinton winning by more than 10 points in the end, I think the democrat will win in the end.

Unlikely. But it will be much closer - 3-4 points in favor of Fitzpatrick..

[Suburbia]

Brian Fitzpatrick will win PA-08. Hillary Clinton will most likely win this part of the Philly suburbs.

[MT Treasurer]

Yeah, Fitzpatrick will win, but it will be closer than this poll suggests.

[Lief 🗽]

If Clinton wins big, I don't think the downballot effects will show up until closer to the election. Fitzpatrick is obviously favored at the moment though.