What is the tossiest toss up? 10/17
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  What is the tossiest toss up? 10/17		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Which state are you least confident on calling?
#1
Arizona		  
#2
Ohio		  
#3
North Carolina		  
#4
Iowa		  
#5
Nevada		  
#6
New Hampshire (edgy)		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 79

Author Topic: What is the tossiest toss up? 10/17  (Read 509 times)
PresidentSamTilden
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« on: October 17, 2016, 04:32:04 PM »
Which state do you think is the currently the closest between Hillary and Donald?

I think it's close between Ohio and Arizona right now, but I'm gonna say Ohio. It seemed like Hillary was pulling ahead here, but polling today has indicated a very close race. It's possibly even leaning Trump, with a T+4 result and a tie.

Ohio has been a bellwether for a long time, although it seems to have clearly moved to the right of the nation as a whole. I've seen Youngstown Ohio called "the center of the Trump phenomenon", a place where many democrats have switched over to republican to vote for him. There's a lot of issues at play here, and I will be very interested to see how it ends up on the 8th. 
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Confused Democrat
reidmill
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« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2016, 04:33:53 PM »
I say Ohio, but 538's model seems to think it's Arizona.

Boy do I hope I'm wrong and they're right.
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elcorazon
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« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2016, 04:34:43 PM »
Arizona as of today. By election day, hopefully Texas or South Carolina. Maybe Missouri.
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F_S_USATN
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« Reply #3 on: October 17, 2016, 04:41:45 PM »
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your old nemesis South Carolina
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Senator Spark
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« Reply #4 on: October 17, 2016, 04:42:22 PM »
NH
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #5 on: October 17, 2016, 04:43:35 PM »
Iowa. No recent polling plus R lean this cycle.
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Vosem
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« Reply #6 on: October 17, 2016, 04:46:03 PM »
Utah
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DavidB.
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« Reply #7 on: October 17, 2016, 04:47:53 PM »
Iowa, actually. And that's funny because for a long time it seemed as if that would not be the case in this election.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #8 on: October 17, 2016, 04:51:55 PM »
I should've voted Iowa, ugh.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #9 on: October 17, 2016, 04:52:34 PM »
north carolina

hillary leads in every poll...but nearly never outside the MOE.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #10 on: October 17, 2016, 05:04:01 PM »
Either Ohio or Arizona...I honestly dont know which.
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AGA
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« Reply #11 on: October 17, 2016, 05:06:37 PM »
Iowa.
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Sedona
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« Reply #12 on: October 17, 2016, 05:17:09 PM »
Either Arizona or Iowa.  I'm gonna be an optimist and say Arizona.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #13 on: October 17, 2016, 05:18:15 PM »
Utah
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skoods
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« Reply #14 on: October 17, 2016, 05:19:33 PM »
'Zona
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #15 on: October 17, 2016, 05:20:13 PM »

It's even more of a tossup because it could go any one of three ways at this point. Come Election Day, I think that it will be a bit more clearly in favor of McMullin.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #16 on: October 17, 2016, 05:21:45 PM »
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TDAS04
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« Reply #17 on: October 17, 2016, 05:26:27 PM »
Arizona followed by Ohio, and then Iowa.
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Xing
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« Reply #18 on: October 17, 2016, 05:28:53 PM »
Arizona and Iowa. I'm actually thinking that the folks saying Iowa could vote to the right of Arizona this year might be on to something.
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Cashew
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« Reply #19 on: October 17, 2016, 05:33:06 PM »
Iowa.
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Chaddyr23
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« Reply #20 on: October 17, 2016, 05:36:05 PM »
Florida lol
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