Does Lisa Murkowski crack 50%?
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  Does Lisa Murkowski crack 50%?		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Does Lisa Murkowski crack 50%?  (Read 729 times)
heatcharger
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« on: November 04, 2016, 05:51:00 PM »
She did not get a majority in both her election campaigns in 2004 and 2010. Moore Information had her at 49% back in October, while Alaska Survey Research had her at 50% on the dot. Will she get there this time?
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Heisenberg
SecureAmerica
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« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2016, 06:28:49 PM »
Murkowski: 51%
Miller: 26%
Metcalfe: 21%
Others: 2%

Something like that.
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Pouring Rain and Blairing Music
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2016, 02:28:08 AM »
No, I think she'll get in the high 40's though. My question is: Will Stock beat Metcalfe? I think she will, but just narrowly (by no more than 2%).
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peterthlee
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« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2016, 10:01:54 AM »
Yes. I'm already tilting to Dems and still giving her a concrete lead of 53-37-10. 538 has her over 60%.
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Vosem
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« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2016, 12:39:08 PM »
She has 3 serious-ish opponents who can be expected to hit double-digits (Metcalfe, Stock, and Miller), and another who can be expected to hit high single-digits (Giannoutsos), and 2 more no-names. Seems to me she'll be somewhere in the mid-40s, which will still be a very comfortable victory margin-wise.
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MyRescueKittehRocks
JohanusCalvinusLibertas
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« Reply #5 on: November 07, 2016, 05:13:18 PM »
Miller will win.
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #6 on: November 07, 2016, 05:14:20 PM »

You mean, just like Stutzman and Mourdock?
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #7 on: November 07, 2016, 05:15:55 PM »
She'll crack 60%.
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Donerail
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« Reply #8 on: November 07, 2016, 06:50:50 PM »
Murkowski: 51%
Miller: 18%
Stock: 14%
Metcalfe: 11%
Others: 6%
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IceSpear
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« Reply #9 on: November 07, 2016, 10:48:11 PM »

LMAO.

Anyway, I think she'll get upper 40s. Miller/Metcalfe/Stock should all crack double digits.
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Pouring Rain and Blairing Music
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #10 on: November 10, 2016, 01:00:25 AM »
Quote from: The Hunt for the Red October Surprise on November 05, 2016, 02:28:08 AM
No, I think she'll get in the high 40's though. My question is: Will Stock beat Metcalfe? I think she will, but just narrowly (by no more than 2%).

Ehh. I was sorta close. Stock beat Metcalfe by a bit over 2%; Murkowski was in the mid, not high, 40's.
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