Who wins the Democratic nomination in this scenario?

[ShadowRocket]

Warren wins IA and NH, while Booker wins NV and SC. What does the primary map look like from there and who is the ultimate winner?

[Former Senator Haslam2020]

[TheSaint250]

Warren. I doubt Booker could make a Bill Clinton-style comeback after winning IA and NH.

[McGovernForPrez]

It's hard to say since we don't know how coalitions will fall compared to 2016. Let's say that generally Booker does well with black voters, and slightly stronger with Hispanics than Warren, and does really well with the more fiscally conservative base of the party. We can say that Warren has the Sanders coalition, does strongly with working class whites, does better in young college towns, does better in some younger more progressive urban centers such as Somerville, MA or Oakland.

I don't think however that Cory Booker has a larger lock on the black voter base than Obama or Clinton had so I personally feel Warren wins.

I don't think Booker can touch the midwest/rustbelt though, bar PA, and I think that's ultimately what stops him from clinching the nomination.

[Senator Spark]

Warren- 27 states
Booker- 23 states + D.C.

[Shameless Lefty Hack]

Really, really depends on the margins in each. Given that Dem primaries/caucuses are always proportional, if a situation emerges where Warren creams Booker in IA/NH and keeps him really close in NV and SC, it looks pretty good for a Warren victory that looks like the Sanders/Clinton map but with a hotly contested South/Sunbelt, and a more optimistic prognosis for Warren in the big Northeastern States (PA, NY, NJ)