What could lock up the race for either candidate?
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  What could lock up the race for either candidate?
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Author Topic: What could lock up the race for either candidate?  (Read 267 times)
Tekken_Guy
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« on: May 26, 2024, 08:24:12 PM »

What potential events could lock up the election for either candidate?
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Donald Trump’s Toupée
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« Reply #1 on: May 26, 2024, 08:32:53 PM »

What potential events could lock up the election for either candidate?

Biden flopping as one would expect in the June debate. As long as he’s not ‘medicated’ like he usually is (SOTU, anyone?).

Biden is in a tough spot - Trump is very close to blowing the race wide open, the debate might just do it. Biden needs to both perform and change the narrative.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2 on: May 26, 2024, 08:45:07 PM »

What potential events could lock up the election for either candidate?

Biden flopping as one would expect in the June debate. As long as he’s not ‘medicated’ like he usually is (SOTU, anyone?).

Biden is in a tough spot - Trump is very close to blowing the race wide open, the debate might just do it. Biden needs to both perform and change the narrative.

You expect Biden to flop, therefore if he doesn’t he must be medicated. This kind of “logic” would earn an F in any Critical Thinking class.
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Obama24
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« Reply #3 on: May 26, 2024, 08:46:17 PM »

What potential events could lock up the election for either candidate?

Trump doing terribly at the second or last debate.

Trump saying something absolutely insane next to election day

a right wing attack of some sort in October turns the election blue.

The economy suddenly heating up in September - Oct and prices falling would lock it for Biden.

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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #4 on: May 26, 2024, 09:10:59 PM »

For Trump: An October surprise relating to the Israel-Hamas war, such as another major attack on the anniversary of October 7.
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iceman
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« Reply #5 on: May 26, 2024, 09:35:52 PM »

What potential events could lock up the election for either candidate?

Trump doing terribly at the second or last debate.

Trump saying something absolutely insane next to election day

a right wing attack of some sort in October turns the election blue.

The economy suddenly heating up in September - Oct and prices falling would lock it for Biden.



we all know since 2016 that whatever crazy things Trunp says doesn’t sway the voters.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #6 on: May 26, 2024, 11:09:25 PM »

A major health problem for either candidate.

Though Trump could probably also lock it up if a recession occurs.
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Ragnaroni
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« Reply #7 on: May 27, 2024, 01:30:37 AM »

Biden : Trump manages to implode before November. If Trump screws up the crucial state of Pennsylvania (which will 100% determine the winner) or if Trump has a stroke.
Trump : recession practically guarantees a 343 map, Biden having severe health issues and the threat of Harris being president. Major Russian offensive in Ukraine in October would also be bad for Biden or intensification of the war/s in the middle east.
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emailking
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« Reply #8 on: May 27, 2024, 02:52:01 AM »

What potential events could lock up the election for either candidate?

Biden flopping as one would expect in the June debate.

I actually don't expect that at all.
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emailking
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« Reply #9 on: May 27, 2024, 03:02:37 AM »

A terrorist attack could lock it up for Biden. I don't expect he'd get 90% approval like Bush but probably enough to lock it up, recall Trump got like a 5 point boost at first from Covid. And I agree that a recession or stock market crash might lock it up for Trump.
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Donald Trump’s Toupée
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« Reply #10 on: May 27, 2024, 03:59:12 AM »

A terrorist attack could lock it up for Biden. I don't expect he'd get 90% approval like Bush but probably enough to lock it up, recall Trump got like a 5 point boost at first from Covid. And I agree that a recession or stock market crash might lock it up for Trump.

Don’t think so. I don’t think there would by any Rally Around the Flag with Biden at this stage. In fact, I’d expect the opposite.

It’s not like the Hostage Crisis saved Carter.
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Agafin
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« Reply #11 on: May 27, 2024, 04:22:55 AM »

Trump saying something absolutely insane next to election day

Lol what? 9 years after the entrance of Trump in national politics, why would anyone expect something like this to sink him?
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emailking
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« Reply #12 on: May 27, 2024, 12:12:05 PM »

A terrorist attack could lock it up for Biden. I don't expect he'd get 90% approval like Bush but probably enough to lock it up, recall Trump got like a 5 point boost at first from Covid. And I agree that a recession or stock market crash might lock it up for Trump.

Don’t think so. I don’t think there would by any Rally Around the Flag with Biden at this stage. In fact, I’d expect the opposite.

It’s not like the Hostage Crisis saved Carter.

Like I said, Trump got a rally effect in his 4th year. Don't know why it would be different with Biden.
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HisGrace
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« Reply #13 on: May 27, 2024, 12:20:22 PM »

Trump saying something absolutely insane next to election day

Trump says something absolutely insane every time he makes a public appearance.
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