Rasmussen - Kerry + 4.5% / +1.7% / +1.6%

[Beet]

Vorlon-

I agree the argument for both those states stands. NH and WV are looking much better for Kerry than they were for Gore. The primary effect in NH is exactly the opposite that it was in 2000, when McCain was very popular there and helped Bush in the general. WV... it all depends on whether Kerry follows the Gore route or if it tries to brush up on his populism. I think the latter.

Rasmussen's state pols here
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/election_2004.htm

[The Vorlon]

What do you think about Ohio?

The Terrance Group (Ed Goaes/Battleground) and Teeter/Hart are both polling Ohio right now.

Both are absolutely first rate firms (Terrance group uses a turnout model that slightly favors the GOP, IMHO,  but thats  more a nit-pick than anything else)

By friday we should have a pretty darn good idea of what Ohio looks like.

[agcatter]

Thanks.