VA: Survey USA: Virginia Governor

[Jayhawker]

New Poll: Virginia Governor by Survey USA on 2009-07-28

Summary: D: 40%, R: 55%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[JerryBrown2010]

It's not looking good for the democrats.

[Senator Ben]

As I've already said, this poll is totally off.  The voting model, percentages, everything is way off.

[Senator MaxQue]

Ben is right. According to the poll, 52% voted for McCain and 43% voted for Obama. And NOVA is R+15.

[Rowan]

I bet once PPP's poll comes out Tuesday, they will say it is all wrong too. Republicans made the same mistake last year blasting the polls. Tom Jensen from PPP has already said from the early calls in the poll that he expects Deeds to be down by more than the 6 points that he was last month in their poll.

[War on Want]

I bet once PPP's poll comes out Tuesday, they will say it is all wrong too. Republicans made the same mistake last year blasting the polls. Tom Jensen from PPP has already said from the early calls in the poll that he expects Deeds to be down by more than the 6 points that he was last month in their poll.

I think Deeds is down but not by 15 points. I'm guessing anywhere between 5 and 10 at this point.

[Senator Sbane]

Unless Republicans have managed to register huge numbers since the 2008 election, the partisan breakdown is totally wrong.

[Vepres]

Ben is right. According to the poll, 52% voted for McCain and 43% voted for Obama. And NOVA is R+15.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but doesn't Deeds appeal more to rural voters while McDonnell has more suburban/urban appeal. I'm referring to their personalities and image, not policies.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

SUSA's region breakdowns are so nebulous that they're virtually useless.

[War on Want]

Ben is right. According to the poll, 52% voted for McCain and 43% voted for Obama. And NOVA is R+15.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but doesn't Deeds appeal more to rural voters while McDonnell has more suburban/urban appeal. I'm referring to their personalities and image, not policies.

Deeds has an lean urban and rural appeal and McDonnell has a suburban appeal with some slight urban appeal. That seems to be what most people from Virginia say. It really doesn't seem to be doing Deeds much good...

[Rowan]

Unless Republicans have managed to register huge numbers since the 2008 election, the partisan breakdown is totally wrong.

It's not a RV poll, it's LIKELY VOTERS. Big difference.

[Vepres]

Ben is right. According to the poll, 52% voted for McCain and 43% voted for Obama. And NOVA is R+15.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but doesn't Deeds appeal more to rural voters while McDonnell has more suburban/urban appeal. I'm referring to their personalities and image, not policies.

Deeds has an lean urban and rural appeal and McDonnell has a suburban appeal with some slight urban appeal. That seems to be what most people from Virginia say. It really doesn't seem to be doing Deeds much good...

That would account for the NOVA DC suburbs though.

[Senator Sbane]

Unless Republicans have managed to register huge numbers since the 2008 election, the partisan breakdown is totally wrong.

It's not a RV poll, it's LIKELY VOTERS. Big difference.

So you think the electorate will change drastically from 2008? Sure the black turnout may go down, but the highly educated white libruls in NOVA will turn out in high numbers. And I wouldn't be surprised if the white rural vote went down at the same time as the black vote, thus negating any ill effect that would have on the democrats. Of course the real reason Deeds would lose today is because he is losing the independent vote, although the defeat would be by 4-5 points not 15 points.

[Smash255]

Ben is right. According to the poll, 52% voted for McCain and 43% voted for Obama. And NOVA is R+15.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but doesn't Deeds appeal more to rural voters while McDonnell has more suburban/urban appeal. I'm referring to their personalities and image, not policies.

Deeds has an lean urban and rural appeal and McDonnell has a suburban appeal with some slight urban appeal. That seems to be what most people from Virginia say. It really doesn't seem to be doing Deeds much good...

That would account for the NOVA DC suburbs though.

Not really at this point the mere mention of Republican repulses voters in NOVA

[Smash255]

Unless Republicans have managed to register huge numbers since the 2008 election, the partisan breakdown is totally wrong.

It's not a RV poll, it's LIKELY VOTERS. Big difference.

So you think the electorate will change drastically from 2008? Sure the black turnout may go down, but the highly educated white libruls in NOVA will turn out in high numbers. And I wouldn't be surprised if the white rural vote went down at the same time as the black vote, thus negating any ill effect that would have on the democrats. Of course the real reason Deeds would lose today is because he is losing the independent vote, although the defeat would be by 4-5 points not 15 points.

Party ID and ideology are so far off from 08 its not even worth discussing.  dem +6 to GOP +6.  Conservative + 12 to Conservative + 29??  Sure.....

[Rowan]

Let's see what PPP says before you get your panties in a bunch.